ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins68% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 68%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidencein 79 days
Estimated: NIO[5] has not set a date; the bidding rules ask host cities for "a continuous 10-day available window between December 1 and December 31, 2026", so the window's last day is used as the placeholder under the span rule.NIO will hold NIO Day 2026, its biggest annual event, in Wuhan after the city won a user vote on 18 July 2026; the bidding rules require a 10-day window in December 2026 and no exact date has been announced.