THE NUMBERS, WITH RECEIPTS.
2 Climate forecasts on Chronopin: cited projections and data, each with its publisher, date and quote.
75% is the probability for the entire five-year average, shown at the end of the forecast window; it is not a temperature or an annual series. Temporary five-year exceedance is distinct from the Paris Agreement long-term warming threshold.
“It is likely (75% chance) that the 2026-2030 five-year mean will exceed 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 average.”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
Million tonnes of CO2-equivalent from crop and livestock production on farms (direct on-farm emissions). 2015-2024 historical, 2025 base-period estimate, 2026-2035 projection.
“While productivity gains are expected to account for the bulk of agricultural production growth over the next decade, some expansion of crop areas and livestock numbers will still be necessary, leading to a 6.5% increase in direct greenhouse gas emissions.”
“OECD Data Explorer, DF_OUTLOOK_2026_2035, World, Agricultural commodities, direct GHG emissions (million tonnes CO2e): 2024 6193.1; 2025 6233.6; 2030 6411.7; 2035 6601.5”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
75% (2030)
75% is the probability for the entire five-year average, shown at the end of the forecast window; it is not a temperature or an annual series. Temporary five-year exceedance is distinct from the Paris Agreement long-term warming threshold.
6,234Mt CO2e (2025) → 6,266Mt CO2e (2026) → 6,299Mt CO2e (2027) → 6,337Mt CO2e (2028) → 6,376Mt CO2e (2029) → 6,412Mt CO2e (2030) → 6,443Mt CO2e (2031) → 6,482Mt CO2e (2032) → 6,522Mt CO2e (2033) → 6,562Mt CO2e (2034) → 6,602Mt CO2e (2035) → 5,777Mt CO2e (2015) → 5,814Mt CO2e (2016) → 5,898Mt CO2e (2017) → 5,879Mt CO2e (2018) → 5,870Mt CO2e (2019) → 5,993Mt CO2e (2020) → 6,048Mt CO2e (2021) → 6,064Mt CO2e (2022) → 6,177Mt CO2e (2023) → 6,193Mt CO2e (2024)
Million tonnes of CO2-equivalent from crop and livestock production on farms (direct on-farm emissions). 2015-2024 historical, 2025 base-period estimate, 2026-2035 projection.