THE NUMBERS, WITH RECEIPTS.
4 Energy forecasts on Chronopin: cited projections and data, each with its publisher, date and quote.
Approximately 50% of electricity generation, not all energy consumption. Includes nuclear and renewables; an outlook rather than a measured 2030 result. History: Not the IEA's own series: Ember's 'Clean' category (renewables plus nuclear) share of world electricity generation, %, 2015-2025 from its public CSV (Area=World, Category=Electricity generation, Unit=%); matches the panel's definition but a different publisher than the IEA projection (the CSV date field is approximate, file downloaded 2026-10-27).
“Renewables and nuclear are together expected to account for around half of global electricity generation by 2030.”
“World,Year 2024,Electricity generation,Aggregate fuel,Clean,% share of generation = 40.94; Year 2025 = 42.64; 2023 = 39.45; 2015 = 33.52 (CSV rows)”
“The record increase in renewables coupled with a small increase in nuclear output of 69 TWh brought low-carbon power to 40.9% (12,609 TWh) of the mix in 2024”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
Nominal US dollars, annual average ($/bbl); 2019-2025 are World Bank reported annual averages, 2026-2027 are the World Bank's April 2026 forecasts (estimates, not outcomes). Forecasts rest on assumptions about the Middle East conflict and may be revised in the October 2026 update.
“Commodity Unit 2024 2025 2026f 2027f ... Crude oil, Brent $/bbl 80.7 69.0 86.0 70.0”
“Crude oil, Brent ($/bbl), annual nominal: 2019 64; 2020 42.3; 2021 70.4; 2022 99.8; 2023 82.6; 2024 80.7; 2025 69”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
Nominal US dollars, annual average ($/mmbtu); 2019-2025 are World Bank reported annual averages, 2026-2027 are the World Bank's April 2026 forecasts (estimates, not outcomes). Forecasts rest on assumptions about the Middle East conflict and may be revised in the October 2026 update.
“Commodity Unit 2024 2025 2026f 2027f ... Natural gas, Europe $/mmbtu 11.0 12.0 15.0 12.0”
“Natural gas, Europe ($/mmbtu), annual nominal: 2019 4.8; 2020 3.24; 2021 16.12; 2022 40.34; 2023 13.11; 2024 10.96; 2025 11.96”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
Nominal US dollars, annual average ($/mmbtu); 2019-2025 are World Bank reported annual averages, 2026-2027 are the World Bank's April 2026 forecasts (estimates, not outcomes). Forecasts rest on assumptions about the Middle East conflict and may be revised in the October 2026 update.
“Commodity Unit 2024 2025 2026f 2027f ... Natural gas, U.S. $/mmbtu 2.2 3.5 3.8 4.0”
“Natural gas, US ($/mmbtu), annual nominal: 2019 2.57; 2020 2.01; 2021 3.85; 2022 6.37; 2023 2.54; 2024 2.19; 2025 3.53”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
50% (2030) → 33.52% (2015) → 34.15% (2016) → 34.67% (2017) → 35.13% (2018) → 36.34% (2019) → 37.91% (2020) → 37.89% (2021) → 38.62% (2022) → 39.45% (2023) → 40.94% (2024) → 42.64% (2025)
Approximately 50% of electricity generation, not all energy consumption. Includes nuclear and renewables; an outlook rather than a measured 2030 result. History: Not the IEA's own series: Ember's 'Clean' category (renewables plus nuclear) share of world electricity generation, %, 2015-2025 from its public CSV (Area=World, Category=Electricity generation, Unit=%); matches the panel's definition but a different publisher than the IEA projection (the CSV date field is approximate, file downloaded 2026-10-27).
$86/bbl (2026) → $70/bbl (2027) → $64/bbl (2019) → $42.3/bbl (2020) → $70.4/bbl (2021) → $99.8/bbl (2022) → $82.6/bbl (2023) → $80.7/bbl (2024) → $69/bbl (2025)
Nominal US dollars, annual average ($/bbl); 2019-2025 are World Bank reported annual averages, 2026-2027 are the World Bank's April 2026 forecasts (estimates, not outcomes). Forecasts rest on assumptions about the Middle East conflict and may be revised in the October 2026 update.
$15/mmbtu (2026) → $12/mmbtu (2027) → $4.8/mmbtu (2019) → $3.24/mmbtu (2020) → $16.12/mmbtu (2021) → $40.34/mmbtu (2022) → $13.11/mmbtu (2023) → $10.96/mmbtu (2024) → $11.96/mmbtu (2025)
Nominal US dollars, annual average ($/mmbtu); 2019-2025 are World Bank reported annual averages, 2026-2027 are the World Bank's April 2026 forecasts (estimates, not outcomes). Forecasts rest on assumptions about the Middle East conflict and may be revised in the October 2026 update.
$3.8/mmbtu (2026) → $4/mmbtu (2027) → $2.57/mmbtu (2019) → $2.01/mmbtu (2020) → $3.85/mmbtu (2021) → $6.37/mmbtu (2022) → $2.54/mmbtu (2023) → $2.19/mmbtu (2024) → $3.53/mmbtu (2025)
Nominal US dollars, annual average ($/mmbtu); 2019-2025 are World Bank reported annual averages, 2026-2027 are the World Bank's April 2026 forecasts (estimates, not outcomes). Forecasts rest on assumptions about the Middle East conflict and may be revised in the October 2026 update.