THE NUMBERS, WITH RECEIPTS.
6 Property forecasts on Chronopin: cited projections and data, each with its publisher, date and quote.
Total US housing starts (single-family plus multifamily), thousands of units, seasonally adjusted annual rate averaged over the year. Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research annual columns; each historical year is the actual shown in the October edition that follows that year (2022 from Oct 2023, 2023 from Oct 2024, 2024 from Oct 2025, 2025 from Oct 2026), so later Census/NAR/Freddie Mac revisions are not applied. 2026 and 2027 are Fannie Mae forecasts (estimates), not outcomes. Oct 2026 edition: 1,356 (2025), 1,341 (2026), 1,301 (2027). Fannie Mae's site returns 403 to direct fetches; the PDFs were read through the Internet Archive copy of the same URLs.
“Total Housing Starts 1,397 1,356 1,347 1,323 1,418 1,345 1,293 1,307 1,307 1,300 1,299 1,299 1,356 1,341 1,301”
“Total Housing Starts 1,415 1,343 1,338 1,387 1,401 1,354 1,336 1,295 1,306 1,305 1,311 1,311 1,367 1,346 1,308”
“Total Housing Starts 1,369 1,455 1,380 1,481 1,407 1,340 1,317 1,308 1,334 1,356 1,365 1,387 1,420 1,343 1,360”
“Total Housing Starts 1,718 1,636 1,446 1,405 1,385 1,450 1,365 1,283 1,211 1,221 1,250 1,281 1,553 1,371 1,241”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
Annual average of the 30-year fixed mortgage rate, percent. Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research annual columns; each historical year is the actual shown in the October edition that follows that year (2022 from Oct 2023, 2023 from Oct 2024, 2024 from Oct 2025, 2025 from Oct 2026), so later Census/NAR/Freddie Mac revisions are not applied. 2026 and 2027 are Fannie Mae forecasts (estimates), not outcomes. The forecast is based on rates from September 30, 2026 and sits well above Fannie Mae's earlier vintages (the October 2025 edition had 6.0% for 2026). Fannie Mae's site returns 403 to direct fetches; the PDFs were read through the Internet Archive copy of the same URLs.
“30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage 6.8 6.8 6.6 6.2 6.1 6.4 6.7 7.4 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 6.6 6.7 7.5”
“30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage 6.7 7.0 6.5 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.0 6.0 5.9 6.7 6.6 6.0”
“30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.3 6.7 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.6 6.8 6.6 5.7”
“30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage 3.8 5.2 5.6 6.7 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.3 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.7 5.3 6.8 6.9”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
NSA, billions of US dollars, 1-4 unit single-family mortgages (purchase plus refinance). Fannie Mae states all origination data are its own estimates as there is no universal market-wide source. Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research annual columns; each historical year is the actual shown in the October edition that follows that year (2022 from Oct 2023, 2023 from Oct 2024, 2024 from Oct 2025, 2025 from Oct 2026), so later Census/NAR/Freddie Mac revisions are not applied. 2026 and 2027 are Fannie Mae forecasts (estimates), not outcomes. Nominal dollars; 2022 is the figure in the October 2023 edition. Fannie Mae's site returns 403 to direct fetches; the PDFs were read through the Internet Archive copy of the same URLs.
“Single-Family Mortgage Originations 379 517 511 585 571 553 513 448 377 507 501 480 1,992 2,085 1,865”
“Single-Family Mortgage Originations 330 437 456 473 372 509 493 507 474 638 628 608 1,695 1,881 2,348”
“Single-Family Mortgage Originations 320 430 411 342 332 439 443 460 421 582 598 540 1,503 1,674 2,142”
“Single-Family Mortgage Originations 754 668 544 408 343 431 400 386 330 496 560 510 2,374 1,559 1,896”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
New single-family plus existing single-family, condo and co-op home sales, thousands of units, SAAR averaged over the year. Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research annual columns; each historical year is the actual shown in the October edition that follows that year (2022 from Oct 2023, 2023 from Oct 2024, 2024 from Oct 2025, 2025 from Oct 2026), so later Census/NAR/Freddie Mac revisions are not applied. 2026 and 2027 are Fannie Mae forecasts (estimates), not outcomes. Fannie Mae cites Census Bureau and NAR as its sources for actuals. Fannie Mae's site returns 403 to direct fetches; the PDFs were read through the Internet Archive copy of the same URLs.
“Total Home Sales 4,741 4,676 4,733 4,867 4,675 4,770 4,641 4,603 4,650 4,697 4,734 4,773 4,754 4,672 4,713”
“Total Home Sales 4,820 4,708 4,643 4,835 4,781 4,660 4,724 4,787 4,922 5,115 5,260 5,339 4,746 4,738 5,159”
“Total Home Sales 4,953 4,885 4,702 4,526 4,863 4,883 4,659 4,755 4,993 5,165 5,319 5,469 4,756 4,772 5,236”
“Total Home Sales 6,747 5,970 5,359 4,795 4,965 4,941 4,708 4,607 4,590 4,732 4,868 4,993 5,671 4,805 4,796”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
FHFA purchase-only house price index, 1991Q1 = 100, calendar-year average; 2023-2036 columns read from the xlsx. CBO February 2026 baseline, calendar years; 2026-2036 are CBO projections (estimates under current law), and CBO's most recent year (2025) may still be an estimate rather than final data. History and projection come from the same CBO release, so there is no definition break. Index level, not a price in dollars or a growth rate. Files were opened in Chrome (cbo.gov returns 403 to curl/WebFetch) and read from the xlsx and the historical CSV; history and projection values here are rounded to 1-2 decimals from the CSV (quotes show the raw digits).
“FHFA house price index, purchase only 1991Q1 100 396.762 418.13 429.576 438.036 450.982 466.454 483.172 500.726 518.995 537.980 557.668 578.049 599.173 621.086”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
Households: total occupied housing units, millions (2023-2036 columns read from the xlsx). CBO February 2026 baseline, calendar years; 2026-2036 are CBO projections (estimates under current law), and CBO's most recent year (2025) may still be an estimate rather than final data. History and projection come from the same CBO release, so there is no definition break. Files were opened in Chrome (cbo.gov returns 403 to curl/WebFetch) and read from the xlsx and the historical CSV; history and projection values here are rounded to 1-2 decimals from the CSV (quotes show the raw digits).
“Households, total occupied housing units Millions 130.263 131.615 132.747 133.982 135.19 136.381 137.521 138.595 139.548 140.38 141.131 141.85 142.536 143.194”
Projections are the cited publishers’ forecasts, not ChronoPin’s.
Checked 2026-10-28
1,341k (2026) → 1,301k (2027) → 1,553k (2022) → 1,420k (2023) → 1,367k (2024) → 1,356k (2025)
Total US housing starts (single-family plus multifamily), thousands of units, seasonally adjusted annual rate averaged over the year. Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research annual columns; each historical year is the actual shown in the October edition that follows that year (2022 from Oct 2023, 2023 from Oct 2024, 2024 from Oct 2025, 2025 from Oct 2026), so later Census/NAR/Freddie Mac revisions are not applied. 2026 and 2027 are Fannie Mae forecasts (estimates), not outcomes. Oct 2026 edition: 1,356 (2025), 1,341 (2026), 1,301 (2027). Fannie Mae's site returns 403 to direct fetches; the PDFs were read through the Internet Archive copy of the same URLs.
6.7% (2026) → 7.5% (2027) → 5.3% (2022) → 6.8% (2023) → 6.7% (2024) → 6.6% (2025)
Annual average of the 30-year fixed mortgage rate, percent. Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research annual columns; each historical year is the actual shown in the October edition that follows that year (2022 from Oct 2023, 2023 from Oct 2024, 2024 from Oct 2025, 2025 from Oct 2026), so later Census/NAR/Freddie Mac revisions are not applied. 2026 and 2027 are Fannie Mae forecasts (estimates), not outcomes. The forecast is based on rates from September 30, 2026 and sits well above Fannie Mae's earlier vintages (the October 2025 edition had 6.0% for 2026). Fannie Mae's site returns 403 to direct fetches; the PDFs were read through the Internet Archive copy of the same URLs.
$2,085bn (2026) → $1,865bn (2027) → $2,374bn (2022) → $1,503bn (2023) → $1,695bn (2024) → $1,992bn (2025)
NSA, billions of US dollars, 1-4 unit single-family mortgages (purchase plus refinance). Fannie Mae states all origination data are its own estimates as there is no universal market-wide source. Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research annual columns; each historical year is the actual shown in the October edition that follows that year (2022 from Oct 2023, 2023 from Oct 2024, 2024 from Oct 2025, 2025 from Oct 2026), so later Census/NAR/Freddie Mac revisions are not applied. 2026 and 2027 are Fannie Mae forecasts (estimates), not outcomes. Nominal dollars; 2022 is the figure in the October 2023 edition. Fannie Mae's site returns 403 to direct fetches; the PDFs were read through the Internet Archive copy of the same URLs.
4,672k (2026) → 4,713k (2027) → 5,671k (2022) → 4,756k (2023) → 4,746k (2024) → 4,754k (2025)
New single-family plus existing single-family, condo and co-op home sales, thousands of units, SAAR averaged over the year. Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research annual columns; each historical year is the actual shown in the October edition that follows that year (2022 from Oct 2023, 2023 from Oct 2024, 2024 from Oct 2025, 2025 from Oct 2026), so later Census/NAR/Freddie Mac revisions are not applied. 2026 and 2027 are Fannie Mae forecasts (estimates), not outcomes. Fannie Mae cites Census Bureau and NAR as its sources for actuals. Fannie Mae's site returns 403 to direct fetches; the PDFs were read through the Internet Archive copy of the same URLs.
438 (2026) → 451 (2027) → 467 (2028) → 483 (2029) → 501 (2030) → 519 (2031) → 538 (2032) → 558 (2033) → 578 (2034) → 599 (2035) → 621 (2036) → 225 (2016) → 239 (2017) → 253 (2018) → 266 (2019) → 287 (2020) → 334 (2021) → 379 (2022) → 397 (2023) → 418 (2024) → 430 (2025)
FHFA purchase-only house price index, 1991Q1 = 100, calendar-year average; 2023-2036 columns read from the xlsx. CBO February 2026 baseline, calendar years; 2026-2036 are CBO projections (estimates under current law), and CBO's most recent year (2025) may still be an estimate rather than final data. History and projection come from the same CBO release, so there is no definition break. Index level, not a price in dollars or a growth rate. Files were opened in Chrome (cbo.gov returns 403 to curl/WebFetch) and read from the xlsx and the historical CSV; history and projection values here are rounded to 1-2 decimals from the CSV (quotes show the raw digits).
134m (2026) → 135m (2027) → 136m (2028) → 138m (2029) → 139m (2030) → 140m (2031) → 140m (2032) → 141m (2033) → 142m (2034) → 143m (2035) → 143m (2036) → 119m (2016) → 120m (2017) → 121m (2018) → 123m (2019) → 126m (2020) → 127m (2021) → 129m (2022) → 130m (2023) → 132m (2024) → 133m (2025)
Households: total occupied housing units, millions (2023-2036 columns read from the xlsx). CBO February 2026 baseline, calendar years; 2026-2036 are CBO projections (estimates under current law), and CBO's most recent year (2025) may still be an estimate rather than final data. History and projection come from the same CBO release, so there is no definition break. Files were opened in Chrome (cbo.gov returns 403 to curl/WebFetch) and read from the xlsx and the historical CSV; history and projection values here are rounded to 1-2 decimals from the CSV (quotes show the raw digits).