ЦИФРЫ — С ИСТОЧНИКАМИ.
3 прогнозов (Demographics) на Chronopin: проекции и данные с источниками, у каждого — издатель, дата и цитата.
Billions of people at 1 July; the UN files give thousands, shown here divided by one million and rounded to two decimals. 1950-2024 are UN estimates; 2030-2100 are the medium-variant projection, which carries wide uncertainty (UN 95% interval for 2100 is 9.0-11.4 billion). Decadal points are chosen for readability; the UN publishes every year.
“The world’s population is expected to continue growing over the coming fifty or sixty years, reaching a peak of around 10.3 billion people in the mid-2080s, up from 8.2 billion in 2024.”
“WPP2024_Demographic_Indicators_Medium.csv, Location=World, Variant=Medium, TPopulation1July (thousands): 1990 5327803.11; 2024 8161972.572; 2050 9664378.587; 2100 10180160.751”
Прогнозы принадлежат указанным издателям, а не ChronoPin.
Проверено 2026-10-28
Average live births per woman, world total. 1950-2024 are UN estimates; 2030-2100 are the medium-variant projection. Replacement level is about 2.1. Decadal points chosen for readability.
“Currently, the global fertility rate stands at 2.25 live births per woman, down from 3.31 births in 1990.”
“WPP2024_Demographic_Indicators_Medium.csv, Location=World, Variant=Medium, TFR: 1990 3.3098; 2024 2.2477; 2050 2.0966; 2100 1.838”
Прогнозы принадлежат указанным издателям, а не ChronoPin.
Проверено 2026-10-28
Years, both sexes combined, world. 1950-2024 are UN estimates (including the 2020-21 COVID dip, not shown at decade points); 2030-2100 are the medium-variant projection. Decadal points chosen for readability.
“Globally, life expectancy at birth reached 73.3 years in 2024, an increase of 8.4 years since 1995. Further reductions in mortality are projected to result in an average longevity of around 77.4 years globally in 2054.”
“WPP2024_Demographic_Indicators_Medium.csv, Location=World, Variant=Medium, LEx (both sexes): 1990 63.955; 2024 73.3217; 2050 77.023; 2100 81.7342”
Прогнозы принадлежат указанным издателям, а не ChronoPin.
Проверено 2026-10-28
8.57B (2030) → 9.18B (2040) → 9.66B (2050) → 9.99B (2060) → 10.19B (2070) → 10.28B (2080) → 10.27B (2090) → 10.18B (2100) → 2.49B (1950) → 3.02B (1960) → 3.69B (1970) → 4.45B (1980) → 5.33B (1990) → 6.17B (2000) → 7.02B (2010) → 7.89B (2020) → 8.16B (2024)
Billions of people at 1 July; the UN files give thousands, shown here divided by one million and rounded to two decimals. 1950-2024 are UN estimates; 2030-2100 are the medium-variant projection, which carries wide uncertainty (UN 95% interval for 2100 is 9.0-11.4 billion). Decadal points are chosen for readability; the UN publishes every year.
2.2births/w (2030) → 2.13births/w (2040) → 2.1births/w (2050) → 2.03births/w (2060) → 1.97births/w (2070) → 1.92births/w (2080) → 1.88births/w (2090) → 1.84births/w (2100) → 4.85births/w (1950) → 4.7births/w (1960) → 4.83births/w (1970) → 3.74births/w (1980) → 3.31births/w (1990) → 2.75births/w (2000) → 2.6births/w (2010) → 2.32births/w (2020) → 2.25births/w (2024)
Average live births per woman, world total. 1950-2024 are UN estimates; 2030-2100 are the medium-variant projection. Replacement level is about 2.1. Decadal points chosen for readability.
74.4 yrs (2030) → 75.8 yrs (2040) → 77 yrs (2050) → 78.1 yrs (2060) → 79.1 yrs (2070) → 80 yrs (2080) → 80.9 yrs (2090) → 81.7 yrs (2100) → 46.4 yrs (1950) → 47.8 yrs (1960) → 56.3 yrs (1970) → 60.5 yrs (1980) → 64 yrs (1990) → 66.4 yrs (2000) → 70.1 yrs (2010) → 71.9 yrs (2020) → 73.3 yrs (2024)
Years, both sexes combined, world. 1950-2024 are UN estimates (including the 2020-21 COVID dip, not shown at decade points); 2030-2100 are the medium-variant projection. Decadal points chosen for readability.