数字,附上出处。
Chronopin上的1项Business预测：附出处的预测与数据，每项均注明发布方、日期和引文。
Annual volume growth in goods trade, not trade value or commercial services. The same October update forecasts 4.1% in 2027; shipping disruption and energy costs remain risks. History: Annual % growth in world merchandise trade volume; 2023 (-0.9) is from the Oct 2025 vintage, 2024 and 2025 from the March 2026 vintage (WTO revised 2024 from 2.8 to 2.7). Only three points verified.
“merchandise trade volume is now expected to grow by 3.9% in 2026”
“Table 1: Merchandise trade volume and GDP growth, 2023-2026 ... Historical 2023 2024 ... World Trade a -0.9 2.8 2.4 0.5”
“World trade grew faster than expected in 2025, with the volume of world merchandise trade rising 4.6 per cent in volume terms (up from 2.7 per cent in 2024)”
预测来自所引用机构，并非 ChronoPin 的预测。
核查于 2026-10-28
3.9% (2026) → 4.1% (2027) → -0.9% (2023) → 2.7% (2024) → 4.6% (2025)
Annual volume growth in goods trade, not trade value or commercial services. The same October update forecasts 4.1% in 2027; shipping disruption and energy costs remain risks. History: Annual % growth in world merchandise trade volume; 2023 (-0.9) is from the Oct 2025 vintage, 2024 and 2025 from the March 2026 vintage (WTO revised 2024 from 2.8 to 2.7). Only three points verified.