行业预测 · ClimateChance the 2026–2030 average exceeds 1.5°C
WMO Global Annual-to-Decadal Update 2026–2030 2030: 75%(预测)
75% is the probability for the entire five-year average, shown at the end of the forecast window; it is not a temperature or an annual series. Temporary five-year exceedance is distinct from the Paris Agreement long-term warming threshold.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2026-2035 2025: 6,234Mt CO2e(预测)
Million tonnes of CO2-equivalent from crop and livestock production on farms (direct on-farm emissions). 2015-2024 historical, 2025 base-period estimate, 2026-2035 projection.
“While productivity gains are expected to account for the bulk of agricultural production growth over the next decade, some expansion of crop areas and livestock numbers will still be necessary, leading to a 6.5% increase in direct greenhouse gas emissions.”