数字,附上出处。
Chronopin上的1项Disaster预测：附出处的预测与数据，每项均注明发布方、日期和引文。
Approximate global annual disaster count if the trajectory used in the 2022 assessment continues, not a prediction of where or when an individual disaster will occur. This is an older conditional projection, restated in a November 2025 UNDP article; it is not a new 2026 model run.
“If we continue this trajectory, by 2030, the world will face some 560 disasters per year”
预测来自所引用机构，并非 ChronoPin 的预测。
核查于 2026-10-28
560 /year (2030)
Approximate global annual disaster count if the trajectory used in the 2022 assessment continues, not a prediction of where or when an individual disaster will occur. This is an older conditional projection, restated in a November 2025 UNDP article; it is not a new 2026 model run.