The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
Microsoft[2] fixes the day itself, per microsoft.com: the consumer ESU programme provides security updates for eligible Windows 10 devices "through October 13, 2026", which is also the last day to enrol.
Microsoft's[1] own lifecycle documentation is the authority on what the ESU programme covers and when it ends.
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most.