More like this
Starship launches Starlink Group 31-1 (Starship Flight 14)
SCHEDULED79% CONFIDENCEin 5 daysSpaceX[1], quoted 22 Sep 2026: "Now targeting to launch Starship Flight 14 as early as Monday, September 28, pending regulatory approval. The 75-minute launch window will open at 7:15 a.m. CT." Already slipped once from 22 Sep, and the FAA licence was still pending.KalshiPolymarket14th test flight of the two-stage Starship launch vehicle. 3rd flight of Starship V3 and the first Starship flight to deploy satellites (a group of Starlink satellites known as Starlink Group 31-1) into stable Low Earth Orbit. The ship is expected to fly at an altitude approximately 275 km above Earth and complete approximately 6 orbits around the planet for nearly 10 hours, with splashdown targeted in the Pacific Ocean west of Chile. The booster’s primary test objective on Flight 14 will be executing a successful launch, ascent, stage separation, boostback burn, and landing burn at an offshore landing point in the Gulf. Starship will deliver 26 Starlink V3 satellites to orbit for the first time, which aim to greatly expand the network's capacity and user speeds. Each Starlink V3 satellite will add 1 Tbps of capacity to the constellation. Lifts off from Orbital Launch Pad 2, SpaceX Starbase, TX, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Gulf of Mexico.0.65Falcon 9 launches Starlink Group 15-27
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCE3 days agoLaunch Library 2 lists this as the no-earlier-than launch time; launches slip.[1]A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.64Falcon 9 launches Starlink Group 15-25
ESTIMATED10 days late60% CONFIDENCEin 17 daysSpaceflight Now's[2] schedule (checked 2026-09-23): "Falcon 9 Starlink 15-25 - 'TBD' launch time on October 10 | SLC-4E, Vandenberg"; rocketlaunch.org gives October 10, 4:00 PM UTC. No firm time yet.A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.64Falcon 9 launches USSF-385
SCHEDULED77% CONFIDENCEin 3 daysSpaceflight Now[3] (checked 2026-09-23): "Window opens at 4:56 a.m. PDT (7:56 a.m. EDT / 1156 UTC)" on 26 September from SLC-4E, Vandenberg; launches slip.A classified mission for the United States Space Force. It is possibly a batch of classified LEO satellites based on SpaceX’s Starshield satellite bus, based on locations of rocket stage drop zones being exact fits with previous Starlink Group 15 launches. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.64Soyuz 2.1b launches Progress MS-36 (97P)
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEin 62 daysLaunch Library 2 lists this as the no-earlier-than launch time; launches slip.[1]Progress resupply mission to the International Space Station. Lifts off from 31/6, Baikonur Cosmodrome, Republic of Kazakhstan to Low Earth Orbit.0.59SpaceX Closes Out Its 2026 Launch Count
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEin 99 daysAn annual count is settled when the year ends: Kalshi[1] expires the 2026 event on December 31, 2026 and Polymarket[2] closes its version at 04:59 UTC on January 1, 2027, so the date follows the market’s terms rather than an estimate.KalshiPolymarketKalshi settles its annual SpaceX launch tally at the end of 2026. On 20 September 2026 above 120 launches was all but certain at 97%, above 140 traded at 68% and above 150 at 11%. Polymarket’s bucketed version agreed, putting 140–159 at 75.9%.0.59The GCAP Combat Air Demonstrator Begins Flight Testing
ESTIMATED62% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsA span the event runs from, per aerospacetestinginternational.com[1]: "Power-on is planned for mid-2027, aircraft ready by the end-2027 with flight test starting from early 2028", so the pin takes the first day of that period.Flight tests of the UK’s crewed sixth-generation demonstrator are due to start from early 2028, after power-on in mid-2027. More than 11,500 parts – about 90% of the aircraft’s weight – have been designed and released, with final assembly under way in Lancashire.0.59Arianespace Launches Ariane 6 on Its Maiden Flight, VA262
CONFIRMED87% CONFIDENCE2.2 years agoArianespace's newsroom and Wikipedia's[2][3] Ariane flight VA262 article confirm Ariane 6's maiden flight lifted off from Kourou on 9 July 2024.Europe's new heavy-lift launcher Ariane 6, built by ArianeGroup, flew for the first time from the Guiana Space Centre. The inaugural flight met its main objectives despite an anomaly in an upper-stage auxiliary unit late in the mission.0.59Boeing Completes the Maiden Flight of Its Model 314 Clipper
CONFIRMED85% CONFIDENCE88.3 years agoHistoryLink.org[3] and the Museum of Flight both date the maiden flight to June 7, 1938.Boeing's Model 314 Clipper flying boat made its 38-minute first flight over Puget Sound, piloted by test pilot Eddie Allen. The giant flying boat went on to open Pan Am's first non-stop transatlantic passenger service.0.59NASA Is Getting Closer to Building An Ultra-Quiet Supersonic Jet for Passenger Flight
NASA is moving forward with their plans to create a quieter supersonic jet that can cut travel times in half. The quiet plane will fly up to 55,000 feet at supersonic speeds. The new prototype will run on two engines and in theory, it could cut the flight time from New York to Los Angeles in half from 6 to 3 hours.$390M0.58The Boeing 787 Dreamliner Makes Its Maiden Flight
CONFIRMED2.5 years late82% CONFIDENCE16.8 years agoHappened as dated, per en.wikipedia.org[1]: "On December 15, 2009, Boeing conducted the 787-8 maiden flight from Paine Field in Everett, Washington, at 10:27 am PST."N787BA lifted off from Paine Field at 10:27 am PST and landed three hours later at Boeing Field, reaching 180 knots and 13,200 feet. The first airliner with a primarily composite airframe flew more than two years later than Boeing first promised.0.58Virgin Hyperloop Runs Its First Passenger Test
CONFIRMED90% CONFIDENCE5.9 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "Transportation history was made Nov. 8 in the Nevada desert, where Virgin Hyperloop tested human travel in a hyperloop pod for the first time".Virgin Hyperloop carried its first human passengers, Josh Giegel and Sara Luchian, through its DevLoop test tube in the Nevada desert at 107mph.0.58
