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Chuo Shinkansen Maglev Tokyo to Nagoya
Nagoya, Japan
DELAYED6.5 years late65% CONFIDENCEin 7.7 yearsDate has moved, per en.wikipedia.org[1]: "…suke Niwa said that due to construction delays a 2027 opening was now impossible and it is not expec…"A 505 km/h superconducting maglev intended to link Tokyo and Nagoya in 40 minutes, delayed by a water-diversion dispute in Shizuoka. Estimated date.¥9T0.79NEOM Halts Construction on Saudi Arabia's The Line Until After 2030
CONFIRMED87% CONFIDENCE124 days agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "Saudi's NEOM halts work on The Line until after 2030."Saudi Arabia's NEOM authority paused further construction on The Line, its 170km linear megacity, until after 2030 amid a sweeping scale-back of the project's ambitions.0.67Thailand-China Railway's First Phase Pushed to 2030
Nakhon Ratchasima, Thailand
DELAYED4 years late66% CONFIDENCEin 4.3 yearsGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Thailand targets 2030 completion of first phase of high-speed rail link to China".The Bangkok-to-Nakhon Ratchasima leg of Thailand's high-speed rail link to China, once due by 2026, is now targeted for 2030 after years of delays.0.66NASA pays the price of being subjected to a massive, expensive rocket
CONFIRMED83% CONFIDENCE6.8 years agoHappened as dated, per arstechnica.com[1]: "…ty of adding crew members to the maiden launch of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket. This seemed…"The agency is now likely to be at least three years late in delivering its new booster. I think that new manufacturing has caused some of the delays we’ve seen. No one welds the way that we’re welding material at the thicknesses we’re welding.$10B0.66McCook Reservoir's Second Stage Delayed to 2032
DELAYED3 years late69% CONFIDENCEin 6.3 yearsDelayed from the original 2029 deadline, per the source[1]: "the current estimate for McCook Stage 2 going online is now Dec. 31, 2032."The next phase of Chicago's giant Deep Tunnel flood-control reservoir has slipped three years behind its original federal deadline because of a local stone shortage.0.65Boeing 777-9 First Delivery
ESTIMATED6.5 years late75% CONFIDENCEin 280 daysBoeing[2] says only 2027. Lufthansa, the launch customer, has delivery “currently scheduled for mid-2027” per Lufthansa Aviation Training, so the pin sits at the middle of the year.Boeing says the first 777-9 will be delivered in 2027, seven years late, after taking a $4.9 billion charge; Lufthansa is the launch customer, with delivery currently scheduled for mid-2027, and Emirates has signalled it is planning for late 2027.0.65Kansai Airport Could Sink Below Sea Level by 2056
ESTIMATED60% CONFIDENCEin 30.3 yearsA target, per the source[1]: "current forecasts predict that Kansai could drop below sea level by 2056 if it continues sinking at the current rate."Built on an artificial island, Japan's Kansai International Airport has sunk more than 13 metres since opening and could drop below sea level by 2056 if its current subsidence rate continues.$20B0.65Vancouver's Broadway Subway Delayed to Fall 2027
Arbutus Station, Kitsilano, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
DELAYED2 years late68% CONFIDENCEin 1.1 yearsGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "testing continuing in stages throughout 2027 ahead of the planned opening in autumn 2027."A five-kilometre SkyTrain extension meant to unlock a taller, denser Broadway Corridor in Vancouver has slipped from its original early-2026 target to autumn 2027.$2.1B0.64Seoul's Twin Eye Ferris Wheel Targets a 2028 Opening
ESTIMATED52% CONFIDENCEin 2.3 yearsGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Seoul plans to complete the 910.2 billion won ($702 million) Ferris wheel by 2028".Seoul's long-troubled giant Ferris wheel, now called Seoulling, is targeting a 2028 opening at Peace Park after two earlier wheel designs were scrapped.0.63The GCAP Combat Air Demonstrator Begins Flight Testing
ESTIMATED62% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsA span the event runs from, per aerospacetestinginternational.com[1]: "Power-on is planned for mid-2027, aircraft ready by the end-2027 with flight test starting from early 2028", so the pin takes the first day of that period.Flight tests of the UK’s crewed sixth-generation demonstrator are due to start from early 2028, after power-on in mid-2027. More than 11,500 parts – about 90% of the aircraft’s weight – have been designed and released, with final assembly under way in Lancashire.0.63TSMC's 1.6nm-Class A16 Process Enters Volume Production
DELAYED12 months late67% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsTSMC's[2][5] Kevin Zhang told Tom's Hardware "A16 will be ready for production in 2026... we expect volume production to begin in 2027", and TSMC's roadmap slide lists A16 under 2027; with no quarter named, the year's last day stands in.A16, TSMC's first node with Super Power Rail backside power delivery, is expected to reach volume production in 2027, a year after the 2026 production TSMC planned when it unveiled the node.0.63India Targets 2027 Launch for First Bullet Train Segment
DELAYED3.5 years late63% CONFIDENCEin 326 daysIndia's bullet train was originally due in 2022; the railways minister now targets 15 August 2027 for the first Surat-Bilimora segment, with the full Mumbai-Ahmedabad line not expected until 2029.[1]India's first high-speed rail line, modelled on Japan's Shinkansen, is now targeted to open its first short segment in 2027, years later than originally planned.0.62
