業界予測 · DemographicsWorld population (UN medium variant)
UN WPP 2024 estimates: 8.16B(2024 · 実績)
UN WPP 2024 medium-variant projection 2030: 8.57B(予測)
Billions of people at 1 July; the UN files give thousands, shown here divided by one million and rounded to two decimals. 1950-2024 are UN estimates; 2030-2100 are the medium-variant projection, which carries wide uncertainty (UN 95% interval for 2100 is 9.0-11.4 billion). Decadal points are chosen for readability; the UN publishes every year.
“The world’s population is expected to continue growing over the coming fifty or sixty years, reaching a peak of around 10.3 billion people in the mid-2080s, up from 8.2 billion in 2024.”
業界予測 · DemographicsGlobal total fertility rate (UN medium variant)
UN WPP 2024 estimates: 2.25births/w(2024 · 実績)
UN WPP 2024 medium-variant projection 2030: 2.2births/w(予測)
Average live births per woman, world total. 1950-2024 are UN estimates; 2030-2100 are the medium-variant projection. Replacement level is about 2.1. Decadal points chosen for readability.
業界予測 · DemographicsGlobal life expectancy at birth (UN medium variant)
UN WPP 2024 estimates: 73.3 yrs(2024 · 実績)
UN WPP 2024 medium-variant projection 2030: 74.4 yrs(予測)
Years, both sexes combined, world. 1950-2024 are UN estimates (including the 2020-21 COVID dip, not shown at decade points); 2030-2100 are the medium-variant projection. Decadal points chosen for readability.
“Globally, life expectancy at birth reached 73.3 years in 2024, an increase of 8.4 years since 1995. Further reductions in mortality are projected to result in an average longevity of around 77.4 years globally in 2054.”