Doerkson의 보수당은 예상되는 B.C.에서 승리합니다. 10월 24일 다수

선거게시 2026.09.232026.09.23 오후 2:41@PoliticsDesk

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Elections BC

2026.10.24 오후 3:00 시작 UTC

British Columbia Parliament Buildings, 501 Belleville Street, Victoria, British Columbia V8W 9W2, Canada

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수정됨2026.10.25 오후 2:50@PoliticsDesk님이
제목
Doerkson Leads the Forecast as British Columbia Votes on October 24Doerkson’s Conservatives Win a Projected B.C. Majority on October 24
리드
재작성됨
변경 전
An October 23 Polymarket snapshot gives Lorne Doerkson a 92% chance of becoming British Columbia’s next premier, versus David Eby at 8.3%, on US$228,628 volume. Official polls open October 24 at 8 a.m. Pacific; the forecast is not an election result.
요약
재작성됨
변경 전
Observed October 23, 2026, Polymarket’s public Next Premier of British Columbia page displayed Lorne Doerkson at 92% and David Eby at 8.3%, with US$228,628 event volume. These are market-implied probabilities, not polling shares or a result. Independently priced binary contracts need not sum to exactly 100%.
Elections BC confirms Final Voting Day on October 24 with polls open 8 a.m.–8 p.m. Pacific. The forecast is dated to the election’s 8 a.m. opening, not the contract closing time or a predicted swearing-in date. Winning seats, government formation and appointment as premier are distinct stages.
Final Voting Day is Saturday 24 October 2026, with voting places open 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Pacific time
NDP Leader and Premier David Eby called the snap election on Tuesday 22 September (Writ Day), two years ahead of schedule, calling the Trump trade war an "existential moment" for the province
Voters elect 93 Members of the Legislative Assembly, one for each electoral district
Candidate nominations close at 1 p.m. Pacific on 3 October; advance voting runs 16-21 October, 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. local time; the last day to request a vote-by-mail package is 18 October
The final count is planned for 6-10 November, with Return Day on 18 November
The vote falls one week after the 17 October municipal elections, which drew criticism from mayors
Seven CentreBC MLAs rejoined the Opposition B.C. Conservatives under interim leader Lorne Doerkson, while Elenore Sturko stays to lead CentreBC
The NDP is seeking a fourth term after a slim majority in 2024
- 2026 Provincial General Election — Initial Count, Elections BCelectionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net신뢰도 99%
- B.C. Conservatives win majority government, Lorne Doerkson set to become next premierhalifax.citynews.ca신뢰도 95%
수정됨2026.10.24 오전 3:51@ThePinGang님이
제목
British Columbia Votes in a Snap Provincial ElectionDoerkson Leads the Forecast as British Columbia Votes on October 24
리드
재작성됨
변경 전
British Columbians vote on Saturday 24 October 2026 for all 93 seats in the legislature, with polls open 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Pacific. Premier David Eby called the snap election two years early, citing the Trump trade war.
요약
재작성됨
변경 전
Final Voting Day is Saturday 24 October 2026, with voting places open 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Pacific time
NDP Leader and Premier David Eby called the snap election on Tuesday 22 September (Writ Day), two years ahead of schedule, calling the Trump trade war an "existential moment" for the province
Voters elect 93 Members of the Legislative Assembly, one for each electoral district
Candidate nominations close at 1 p.m. Pacific on 3 October; advance voting runs 16-21 October, 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. local time; the last day to request a vote-by-mail package is 18 October
The final count is planned for 6-10 November, with Return Day on 18 November
The vote falls one week after the 17 October municipal elections, which drew criticism from mayors
Seven CentreBC MLAs rejoined the Opposition B.C. Conservatives under interim leader Lorne Doerkson, while Elenore Sturko stays to lead CentreBC
The NDP is seeking a fourth term after a slim majority in 2024
- Next Premier of British Columbia — Polymarketpolymarket.com신뢰도 95%
- Final Voting Day is Saturday, October 24 — Elections BCelections.bc.ca신뢰도 95%

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참고자료 10신뢰도 91%종합 신뢰도: 91%핀의 출처와 참고 자료가 날짜를 얼마나 뒷받침하는지.출처를 포함한 자료 10건이 핀의 시작·종료 시각을 얼마나 강하게 뒷받침하는지에 대한 가중 평균. 자료는 최신 자료보다 180일 오래될 때마다 가중치가 절반이 됩니다신뢰도 75% 이상 핀 모두 보기

첫 번째 항목은 항상 핀의 출처입니다. 전체 신뢰도는 각 자료가 위의 시작·종료 시각을 얼마나 확실히 뒷받침하는지에 대한 가중 평균이며, 자료는 최신 자료보다 180일 오래될 때마다 가중치가 절반이 됩니다.

[1]90%
elections.bc.ca/2026-provincial-election
elections.bc.ca· 게시 2026년 9월 23일· 시작 2026년 10월 24일 ✓· 종료 2026년 10월 25일 ✓· 점수의 10%
확인된 선거 발생: 투표는 10월 24일에 진행되었습니다. 10월 25일 BC 선거 예비 결과와 CityNews^[3] 예측은 보고된 결과를 확립합니다. 최종 좌석 인증 및 총리 임명은 아직 보류 중입니다.
[2]99%
2026 Provincial General Election — Initial Count, Elections BC
electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net· 게재 2026년 10월 25일· 점수의 11%
Opened current initial count: 64 Conservative,27 NDP,2 Green district leads;99.57% boxes reporting. Results explicitly preliminary.^[1]
[3]95%
B.C. Conservatives win majority government, Lorne Doerkson set to become next premier
halifax.citynews.ca· 게재 2026년 10월 25일· 점수의 11%
Opened CityNews Kelsey Patterson report; majority projection, concession and party-leadership departure.
[4]95%
Next Premier of British Columbia — Polymarket
polymarket.com· 게재 2026년 10월 23일· 추가한 사람@ThePinGang· 점수의 11%
Opened market page:92%Doerkson,8.3%Eby,$228628. Public snapshot differs from later helper observation; no mixed-time odds/volume.^[1]
[5]95%
Final Voting Day is Saturday, October 24 — Elections BC
elections.bc.ca· 게재 2026년 10월 23일· 추가한 사람@ThePinGang· 점수의 11%
Confirms election date and08:00–20:00Pacific voting window.^[1]

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Doerkson의 보수당은 예상되는 B.C.에서 승리합니다. 10월 24일 다수

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