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- Jan 1, 210025% CONFIDENCEsource
Will Humans Achieve a Type 1 Civilization by 2100?
- Source access repaired on October 21,2026: this September 23,2023 Wayback capture preserves the H+article published July 29,2014. Its discussion of a Type 1 civilization is historical speculation, not a newly announced 2100 milestone. The original forecast date and uncertainty are retained.[1]
- The Kardashev scale rates a civilization by how much energy it can harness, from its home planet (Type I) to its star (Type II) to its galaxy (Type III).
- Humanity today sits at Type 0, scoring roughly 0.7 to 0.72 and producing about 15 terawatts of energy - a small fraction of a Type I civilization's output.
- Physicist Michio Kaku has speculated humanity will reach Type I status within a century or two, putting the milestone around 2100-2200.
- Kaku's own site separately estimates a Type I civilization is roughly 200 years away, consistent with that century-or-two outlook.[2]