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LA's $14BN Airport Upgrade
DELAYED3 years late65% CONFIDENCEin 38 daysDate has moved, per the source[1]: "the posted date is now October 2026. That probably won’t happen either" - the APM has already blown past targets of 2023, January 2026 and the June 2026 World Cup.LAX’s $3.34BN Automated People Mover - the driverless train meant to finally connect the airport’s terminals to LA’s Metro system - has slipped years past its original target and still has no confirmed opening date.$3.3B0.68Fraport Presents Frankfurt Terminal 3's First Sky Line Train
CONFIRMED90% CONFIDENCE3.9 years agoFraport's[2] press release 'Terminal 3: First Vehicle for New Sky Line Presented' states the vehicle was presented on November 3, 2022.Fraport presented the first vehicle of its new automated Sky Line people-mover for Frankfurt Airport's €4 billion Terminal 3, a key milestone as the terminal neared completion.0.66Virgin Hyperloop Runs Its First Passenger Test
CONFIRMED90% CONFIDENCE5.9 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "Transportation history was made Nov. 8 in the Nevada desert, where Virgin Hyperloop tested human travel in a hyperloop pod for the first time".Virgin Hyperloop carried its first human passengers, Josh Giegel and Sara Luchian, through its DevLoop test tube in the Nevada desert at 107mph.0.61Starship launches Starlink Group 31-1 (Starship Flight 14)
SCHEDULED79% CONFIDENCEin 5 daysSpaceX[1], quoted 22 Sep 2026: "Now targeting to launch Starship Flight 14 as early as Monday, September 28, pending regulatory approval. The 75-minute launch window will open at 7:15 a.m. CT." Already slipped once from 22 Sep, and the FAA licence was still pending.KalshiPolymarket14th test flight of the two-stage Starship launch vehicle. 3rd flight of Starship V3 and the first Starship flight to deploy satellites (a group of Starlink satellites known as Starlink Group 31-1) into stable Low Earth Orbit. The ship is expected to fly at an altitude approximately 275 km above Earth and complete approximately 6 orbits around the planet for nearly 10 hours, with splashdown targeted in the Pacific Ocean west of Chile. The booster’s primary test objective on Flight 14 will be executing a successful launch, ascent, stage separation, boostback burn, and landing burn at an offshore landing point in the Gulf. Starship will deliver 26 Starlink V3 satellites to orbit for the first time, which aim to greatly expand the network's capacity and user speeds. Each Starlink V3 satellite will add 1 Tbps of capacity to the constellation. Lifts off from Orbital Launch Pad 2, SpaceX Starbase, TX, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Gulf of Mexico.0.59O'Hare's Satellite Concourse 1 Is Finished
Satellite Concourse 1, O'Hare International Airport, Chicago, IllinoisChicago Department of Aviation
DELAYED3 years late40% CONFIDENCEin 2.0 yearsSatellite Concourse 1 "began vertical construction in April 2026 with a targeted completion date of late 2028" - a season rather than a day, and one that has already moved.[1]The first of two satellite concourses west of O'Hare's terminal core, designed by Skidmore, Owings & Merrill with Norviska and designated Concourse D, is reached by an underground tunnel from the terminals. Vertical construction started in April 2026; the $1.45 billion concourse is the first piece of the O'Hare 21 rebuild to be delivered, a programme approved in 2018 at $8.5 billion and now put at roughly $12 billion in current dollars.$1.4B0.58Falcon 9 launches Starlink Group 15-25
ESTIMATED10 days late60% CONFIDENCEin 17 daysSpaceflight Now's[2] schedule (checked 2026-09-23): "Falcon 9 Starlink 15-25 - 'TBD' launch time on October 10 | SLC-4E, Vandenberg"; rocketlaunch.org gives October 10, 4:00 PM UTC. No firm time yet.A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.58Falcon 9 launches Starlink Group 15-27
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCE3 days agoLaunch Library 2 lists this as the no-earlier-than launch time; launches slip.[1]A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system. Lifts off from Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA to Low Earth Orbit. The booster is due to land at Of Course I Still Love You.0.57Crane Clean Energy Center Targets 2027 Restart
SCHEDULED78% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "we continue to expect to start this unit in 2027".Constellation Energy is working to bring the former Three Mile Island Unit 1 reactor back online to supply carbon-free power under a 20-year deal with Microsoft.$1.5B0.57The GCAP Combat Air Demonstrator Begins Flight Testing
ESTIMATED62% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsA span the event runs from, per aerospacetestinginternational.com[1]: "Power-on is planned for mid-2027, aircraft ready by the end-2027 with flight test starting from early 2028", so the pin takes the first day of that period.Flight tests of the UK’s crewed sixth-generation demonstrator are due to start from early 2028, after power-on in mid-2027. More than 11,500 parts – about 90% of the aircraft’s weight – have been designed and released, with final assembly under way in Lancashire.0.57Lux AI Supercomputer Arrives at Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Third Street, Oak Ridge, Roane County, Tennessee, United StatesHewlett Packard Enterprise…
CONFIRMED85% CONFIDENCE98 days agoThe Lux page shows the photo 'The Lux supercomputing system arrives at ORNL[1][3][4][6]' without a date; that photo's own OLCF page dates it: 'Lux supercomputing system on Wednesday, June 17, 2026 in the Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility. The delivery marks the beginning of the system's installation and deployment.' No time given, so all day.DOE's Lux AI cluster, built by HPE with more than 4,000 AMD MI355X GPUs, was delivered to ORNL's leadership computing facility, starting installation of the first dedicated AI system for the Genesis Mission.0.57Boeing Delivers Its First 747-8 Freighter to Cargolux
CONFIRMED78% CONFIDENCE14.9 years agoBoeing's own October 12, 2011 press release announced the delivery of the first 747-8 Freighter to Cargolux.[1]Boeing handed over the first 747-8 Freighter to launch customer Cargolux at its Everett, Washington widebody plant, putting the largest version of the 747 into commercial cargo service.0.57SFO's Terminal 3 West Expansion Opens
Terminal 3, San Francisco International Airport, San Francisco, CA 94128San Francisco International Airport
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEin 343 daysThe builder's announcement says the expansion "is scheduled to open in the fall of 2027", a season rather than a day.[1]Turner broke ground on 5 September 2024 on the $2.6 billion modernization of SFO's Terminal 3: a 200,000-square-foot expansion, 650,000 square feet of renovation and a new six-story building holding airline lounges and operational offices. The eastern addition follows in 2029.0.57
