The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
August 4, 2026 reporting says no official opening date and identifies 2033 as an unconfirmed reported delay. December 31, 2033 remains an estimated year anchor with that uncertainty, not an operator-announced opening.
Opened 2026-11-04: construction start June 23, 2021, 7.8 km tunnel scope, 2033 internal planning date vs public 2030, cost grown to $10.2 billion.[1]
Metrolinx June 2025 update (up from $5.5bn construction-only).[1]
Published project cost: “Estimated cost for Scarborough subway extension climbs to $10.2B”[1]
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2030 (later reports cite 2033 internally; unconfirmed)
“It's currently set to open in 2030.”
Under construction since 2021
“Construction of the three-stop Scarborough subway extension has been underway since 2021”
Cost estimate rises to CAD 10.2 billion
“Estimated cost for Scarborough subway extension climbs to $10.2B”
Scarborough’s extension is In Progress: August 2026 reporting documents piling and excavation at Lawrence/McCowan and more than 75% tunnelling. It explicitly says there is no official opening date. The saved 2033 year anchor is retained only as an unconfirmed reported estimate. The CAD5.7bn stations/rail/systems contract excludes separately contracted tunnel works and is not substituted for an unverified current all-in extension budget.
The published cost is CAD 10.2 billion: Metrolinx's June 2025 estimated total cost of the Scarborough Subway Extension (the earlier c. CAD5.5bn was construction only; CAD5.7bn is the stations contract alone).[4]