The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
The source bounds the flooding by month rather than by day — "a series of devastating floods that occurred from June to August 1931" — so the pin spans 1 June to the end of August, with the one firm date inside it being the Lake Gaoyou dike breach of 25 August 1931.
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most.
Now, that doesn’t mean that they will invade in 2027, but certainly implies a significant milestone.