The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
The source dates only the start by month — "early fires in Central Queensland led to a premature start to the bushfire season from June 2019" — and names no end day, so the pin runs from 1 June 2019 to the end of February 2020, the Australian summer the season is named for.
The Bureau's own annual statement is the authority for the conditions the fire season grew out of: 2019 was "Australia's warmest year on record" and "Australia's driest year on record", with nationally averaged rainfall 40% below average.[1]
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