The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
Given as a target, not a fixed date, per the pin description: "…ructive reentry over the South Pacific. Estimated date.…"
Drift-down from mid-2028, USDV arrival mid-2029, deorbit around 2030 or shortly after.[1]
Spaceflight Now[2] could not be fetched due to a network restriction, but its title and 18 July 2024 publish date confirm it covers NASA's[4][5] SpaceX deorbit vehicle plans for the ISS, supporting the pin's stored 2031 estimated deorbit date.
Assembly missions began in 1998; NASA[5] committed to operate the station through 2030.
NASA's[4] own press release confirms the agency plans "the safe and responsible deorbit of the International Space Station... after the end of its operational life in 2030", with SpaceX selected 26 June 2024 to build the deorbit vehicle - consistent with the pin's stored 1 January 2031 estimated date, just after the 2030 end-of-life target.
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most. A picture that shows something else, or shows it badly, is looked at too, and moved down or replaced.
NASA's committed operations end; controlled deorbit follows around 2030 or shortly after[4][5]
The same event, pinned 1 more time. On the timeline they stack, the most watched (then most viewed) on top: this one.