The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
Estimated from the pattern, per en.wikipedia.org: the tree is "lit in a public ceremony on the last Wednesday of November or first Wednesday of December and following Thanksgiving"; Thanksgiving 2026 falls on 26 November (macysinc.com[2]), so the ceremony should be Wednesday 2 December. No official 2026 date has been announced.
Fixes Thanksgiving 2026 as Thursday 26 November, from which the following Wednesday is counted.[1]
NBC News live blog of the 2025 lighting, recording the tree lit at 9:58 p.m. EST.
NBC New York on the 2025 tree and its Wednesday 3 December lighting just before 10 p.m. ET.
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