Estimated: On October 17, 2026, Kalshi’s[1][2] 30-strike October 30 Brent book placed the 50% crossing nearUS$107 and its largest adjacent midpoint-probability band aroundUS$111–113. Estimated dollar turnover wasUS$66,049, computed as contracts times last prices. The pin stays at the contract observation of October 30, 2026, 17:00 EDT; settlement is not yet realized. The October 16 distribution is preserved in the summary.
Kalshi
October30 Brent forecast, checked October18: leading adjacent implied band US$98.99–100.99; closest50% threshold US$106.99. Estimated dollar turnover US$68,495. Prior monthly settlements are linked in the thread.