Brazil Holds a Lula vs Flávio Bolsonaro Presidential Runoff
Palácio do Planalto, N1 Leste, Brasília, Plano Piloto, Federal District, Central-West Region, 70000-000, Brazil
Superior Electoral Court
SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins76% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 76%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterBrazil's electoral calendar sets the second round for 25 October 2026, three weeks after the 4 October first round; it is held if no candidate takes over half the valid votes, which Polymarket[2][3] put at 2.7% on 1 October.
Polymarket
Polymarket
If no one wins half the valid votes on 4 October, Brazil's top two presidential candidates meet in a runoff on 25 October 2026. Every late poll has Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro tied in that second round.
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