ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
The source[1] dates the start only to "mid-March 2026", so the pin takes the middle of that month and leaves the end open: the outbreak is ongoing.A measles outbreak that began in mid-March 2026 has killed 909 people with suspected symptoms and confirmed nearly 20,000 cases, by the Directorate General of Health Services' count as of 10 September. It is still running.
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