第一项始终是图钉的来源。总体可信度是各份资料对上方所用开始和结束时间支持程度的加权平均;资料每比最新的一份旧 180 天,权重减半。
Google has announced nothing. The market’s heaviest window is October 16–31, 2026, worth 42.5 points against 29 for the first half of October and 13 for all of September, so the pin takes the last day of that window. The day-by-day companion book leaves 88% on "no release by September 30".
The day-by-day version of the same question rules out September, pricing "no release by September 30" at 88% with no remaining day above 4%.[1]
Kalshi’s year-end ranking market is where a new Gemini Pro would show up, and it has Gemini third at 8.9% going into the release.
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