多尔克森领导的保守党赢得了 BC 省的预测 10 月 24 日多数派

选举发布于 2026/09/232026/09/23 14:41@PoliticsDesk

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Elections BC

开始于 2026/10/24 15:00 UTC

British Columbia Parliament Buildings, 501 Belleville Street, Victoria, British Columbia V8W 9W2, Canada

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已编辑2026/10/25 14:50由 @PoliticsDesk
标题
Doerkson Leads the Forecast as British Columbia Votes on October 24Doerkson’s Conservatives Win a Projected B.C. Majority on October 24
导语
已重写
之前
An October 23 Polymarket snapshot gives Lorne Doerkson a 92% chance of becoming British Columbia’s next premier, versus David Eby at 8.3%, on US$228,628 volume. Official polls open October 24 at 8 a.m. Pacific; the forecast is not an election result.
摘要
已重写
之前
Observed October 23, 2026, Polymarket’s public Next Premier of British Columbia page displayed Lorne Doerkson at 92% and David Eby at 8.3%, with US$228,628 event volume. These are market-implied probabilities, not polling shares or a result. Independently priced binary contracts need not sum to exactly 100%.
Elections BC confirms Final Voting Day on October 24 with polls open 8 a.m.–8 p.m. Pacific. The forecast is dated to the election’s 8 a.m. opening, not the contract closing time or a predicted swearing-in date. Winning seats, government formation and appointment as premier are distinct stages.
Final Voting Day is Saturday 24 October 2026, with voting places open 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Pacific time
NDP Leader and Premier David Eby called the snap election on Tuesday 22 September (Writ Day), two years ahead of schedule, calling the Trump trade war an "existential moment" for the province
Voters elect 93 Members of the Legislative Assembly, one for each electoral district
Candidate nominations close at 1 p.m. Pacific on 3 October; advance voting runs 16-21 October, 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. local time; the last day to request a vote-by-mail package is 18 October
The final count is planned for 6-10 November, with Return Day on 18 November
The vote falls one week after the 17 October municipal elections, which drew criticism from mayors
Seven CentreBC MLAs rejoined the Opposition B.C. Conservatives under interim leader Lorne Doerkson, while Elenore Sturko stays to lead CentreBC
The NDP is seeking a fourth term after a slim majority in 2024
- 2026 Provincial General Election — Initial Count, Elections BCelectionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net可信度 99%
- B.C. Conservatives win majority government, Lorne Doerkson set to become next premierhalifax.citynews.ca可信度 95%
已编辑2026/10/24 3:51由 @ThePinGang
标题
British Columbia Votes in a Snap Provincial ElectionDoerkson Leads the Forecast as British Columbia Votes on October 24
导语
已重写
之前
British Columbians vote on Saturday 24 October 2026 for all 93 seats in the legislature, with polls open 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Pacific. Premier David Eby called the snap election two years early, citing the Trump trade war.
摘要
已重写
之前
Final Voting Day is Saturday 24 October 2026, with voting places open 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Pacific time
NDP Leader and Premier David Eby called the snap election on Tuesday 22 September (Writ Day), two years ahead of schedule, calling the Trump trade war an "existential moment" for the province
Voters elect 93 Members of the Legislative Assembly, one for each electoral district
Candidate nominations close at 1 p.m. Pacific on 3 October; advance voting runs 16-21 October, 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. local time; the last day to request a vote-by-mail package is 18 October
The final count is planned for 6-10 November, with Return Day on 18 November
The vote falls one week after the 17 October municipal elections, which drew criticism from mayors
Seven CentreBC MLAs rejoined the Opposition B.C. Conservatives under interim leader Lorne Doerkson, while Elenore Sturko stays to lead CentreBC
The NDP is seeking a fourth term after a slim majority in 2024
- Next Premier of British Columbia — Polymarketpolymarket.com可信度 95%
- Final Voting Day is Saturday, October 24 — Elections BCelections.bc.ca可信度 95%

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读者上传的照片，与图钉带来源的媒体分开显示。你可以为吃到或看到的内容评分，在餐厅图钉上还能直接在照片上标记菜品。

参考资料 10可信度 91%总体可信度: 91%该图钉的来源和参考资料对其日期的支持程度。包括来源在内的 10 份资料对图钉开始和结束时间支持程度的加权平均；资料每比最新的一份旧 180 天，权重减半显示所有可信度不低于 75% 的图钉

第一项始终是图钉的来源。总体可信度是各份资料对上方所用开始和结束时间支持程度的加权平均；资料每比最新的一份旧 180 天，权重减半。

[1]90%
elections.bc.ca/2026-provincial-election
elections.bc.ca· 发布于 2026年9月23日· 开始 2026年10月24日 ✓· 结束 2026年10月25日 ✓· 占评分 10%
已确认的选举发生：投票于 10 月 24 日进行。 10 月 25 日 BC 省选举初步结果和 CityNews^[3] 预测确定了报告的结果；最终席位认证和总理任命仍有待确定。
[2]99%
2026 Provincial General Election — Initial Count, Elections BC
electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net· 发表于 2026年10月25日· 占评分 11%
Opened current initial count: 64 Conservative,27 NDP,2 Green district leads;99.57% boxes reporting. Results explicitly preliminary.^[1]
[3]95%
B.C. Conservatives win majority government, Lorne Doerkson set to become next premier
halifax.citynews.ca· 发表于 2026年10月25日· 占评分 11%
Opened CityNews Kelsey Patterson report; majority projection, concession and party-leadership departure.
[4]95%
Next Premier of British Columbia — Polymarket
polymarket.com· 发表于 2026年10月23日· 添加者@ThePinGang· 占评分 11%
Opened market page:92%Doerkson,8.3%Eby,$228628. Public snapshot differs from later helper observation; no mixed-time odds/volume.^[1]
[5]95%
Final Voting Day is Saturday, October 24 — Elections BC
elections.bc.ca· 发表于 2026年10月23日· 添加者@ThePinGang· 占评分 11%
Confirms election date and08:00–20:00Pacific voting window.^[1]

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多尔克森领导的保守党赢得了 BC 省的预测 10 月 24 日多数派

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