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First Buildings Open at Tokyo's Tsukiji Redevelopment Site
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEin 2.5 yearsMitsui Fudosan's[1] release gives "Scheduled opening: First half of 2030s or later (advance opening of facility in fiscal 2029)", so the pin sits on 1 April 2029, the first day of that fiscal year.Mitsui Fudosan's consortium is rebuilding the 190,000 sq m former Tsukiji fish market site in Chuo City as nine buildings totalling about 1,170,000 sq m, including an all-weather multifunctional venue for roughly 50,000 people, a theatre hall, a culinary centre and a waterbus terminal. The whole scheme is costed at about 900 billion yen.0.64NIED's Large-Scale Rainfall Simulator Opens in Tsukuba
Tsukuba, Ibaraki Prefecture, Japan
National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience
CONFIRMED91% CONFIDENCE52.6 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "The facility was established in 1974, following a series of destructive typhoons."Japan's National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience completed its hangar-sized Large-Scale Rainfall Simulator in Tsukuba, letting scientists recreate extreme storms on demand to study landslides and flooding.0.63EBRD-backed remediation of Kyrgyzstan's Mailuu-Suu tailings dam
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEin 4.3 yearsGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: the remediation works agreement covers "seven years of remediation works" with a "contract scheduled completion date" of 31/12/2030.A €23M EBRD-backed grant funds a seven-year project to relocate radioactive uranium tailings from Mailuu-Suu's most dangerous dam, away from the Fergana Valley's water supply.€23M0.62Chuo Shinkansen Maglev Tokyo to Nagoya
Nagoya, Japan
DELAYED6.5 years late65% CONFIDENCEin 7.7 yearsDate has moved, per en.wikipedia.org[1]: "…suke Niwa said that due to construction delays a 2027 opening was now impossible and it is not expec…"A 505 km/h superconducting maglev intended to link Tokyo and Nagoya in 40 minutes, delayed by a water-diversion dispute in Shizuoka. Estimated date.¥9T0.62Azabudai Hills' Mori JP Tower Completes as Japan's Tallest Building
CONFIRMED88% CONFIDENCE3.2 years agoMori Building gives the Mori JP Tower's completion as 30 June 2023, announced at the start of the following week; CNN[3] of 4 July 2023 reports the completion was 'announced Monday', with final touches left and the Azabudai Hills complex to open in the fall. The previous date of 24 November 2023 was the day the complex opened to the public, not the tower's completion.Mori Building's earthquake-engineered Main Tower at Azabudai Hills was completed in Tokyo, becoming Japan's tallest building at 330 metres.0.60Torch Tower Completes as Japan's Tallest Building
SCHEDULED57% CONFIDENCEin 1.5 yearsMitsubishi Estate’s own construction-start release says Torch Tower and its substation building "are scheduled for completion at the end of March 2028", and its schedule table repeats "End of March 2028".[1]The 385 m, 62-storey centrepiece of the Tokyo Torch district beside Tokyo Station holds offices, more than 100 shops, an events hall for 2,000 people and the first luxury rental flats in the Otemachi-Marunouchi-Yurakucho district. Construction started in September 2023.¥500B0.60JR East's Haneda Airport Access Line Opens to Tokyo Station
DELAYED2 years late40% CONFIDENCEin 4.5 yearsWikipedia[1] states that "as of July 2024, JR East plans to open the new line in fiscal year 2031"; no month is given, so the pin sits on 1 April 2031, the first day of that Japanese fiscal year.The new line runs from a station between Haneda's Terminals 1 and 2 through an underwater tunnel to the Tokaido Main Line near Tamachi, tying the airport directly into Tokyo Station and Shin-Kiba. Construction began on 2 June 2023 and the East Yamanote route is costed at about 280 billion yen.¥280B0.59Golden Gate Bridge District Approves Final $1BN Seismic Retrofit Phase
CONFIRMED84% CONFIDENCE334 days agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "voted Friday to authorize about $1.01 billion in allocations toward the project."The district that runs the Golden Gate Bridge signed off on roughly $1 billion in funding for the final stage of a decades-long project to keep the span standing through a major earthquake.$1B0.59Tokyo Skytree Opens to the Public
CONFIRMED72% CONFIDENCE14.3 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "Tokyo Skytree was completed on Leap Day, 29 February 2012, with the tower opening to the public on 22 May 2012".Tokyo Skytree, the world's tallest tower at the time and an earthquake-engineering showcase, opened to visitors in Sumida, Tokyo.¥65B0.59Nakagin Capsule Tower Demolition Begins in Tokyo
Nakagin Capsule Tower, 8-Chome Ginza, Chuo City, Tokyo, 104-0061, Japan
CONFIRMED83% CONFIDENCE4.4 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "Demolition of the Nakagin Capsule Tower Building began on 12 April 2022."Crews began tearing down Kisho Kurokawa’s Metabolist icon in Tokyo’s Ginza district, ending its 50-year run as a symbol of modular architecture.0.59Goldin Finance 117 Targeted to Finally Complete in Tianjin
Goldin Finance 117, Xiqing District, Tianjin, China
ESTIMATED65% CONFIDENCEin 280 daysGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "In April 2025, it was announced that construction would resume and be completed in 2027."After a decade standing unfinished as the world's tallest abandoned building, Tianjin's 597-metre Goldin Finance 117 resumed construction under a state-led rescue and is targeted to complete in 2027.0.59Salt Lake Temple Completes Seismic Base-Isolation Retrofit
CONFIRMED88% CONFIDENCE85 days agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "Starting Thursday, June 25, construction crews removed over 1,500 bolts connecting 392 plates to the base isolators."Crews finished installing a base-isolation system beneath the 19th-century Salt Lake Temple as part of an estimated $2.4 billion project to let the building float free of the ground during a major earthquake.$2.4B0.59
Mitsui Fudosan
Mitsubishi Estate
East Japan Railway Company
