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The Extremely Large Telescope Reaches First Light
ESTIMATED68% CONFIDENCEin 2.5 yearsESO[1][2] states the ELT "is now set to make its first test observations at the beginning of 2029, with 'telescope first light' expected in March 2029". Only the month is given, so the pin takes its last day.ESO's 39-metre Extremely Large Telescope takes its first test observations from Cerro Armazones in March 2029, with scientific first light following in December 2030.0.83Extremely Large Telescope First Light
ESTIMATED56% CONFIDENCEin 2.4 yearsGiven as a target, not a fixed date, per en.wikipedia.org[1]: "…and construction in July 2023, with the expected completion and first light set for March 2029.[13][…"A 39-metre segmented mirror in Chile's Atacama, collecting more light than all existing 8-10 metre telescopes combined. Estimated date.€1.1B0.77Square Kilometre Array Observations Begin
ESTIMATED62% CONFIDENCEin 3.7 yearsGiven as a target, not a fixed date, per the pin description: "…as the world's largest radio telescope. Estimated date.…"Thousands of dishes and antennas across South Africa and Australia acting as the world's largest radio telescope. Estimated date.A$3B0.69High-Luminosity LHC Starts Up
ESTIMATED53% CONFIDENCEin 3.7 yearsGiven as a target, not a fixed date, per the pin description: "…arch for rare processes into the 2040s. Estimated date.…"An upgrade to increase the LHC's collision rate roughly tenfold, extending the search for rare processes into the 2040s. Estimated date.0.65LIGO Announces the First Detection of Gravitational Waves
National Press Club, 529, 14th Street Northwest, Downtown, Ward 2, Washington, District of Columbia, 20005, United StatesLIGO
CONFIRMED88% CONFIDENCE10.6 years agoWikipedia[2] dates both the observation and the announcement: "The first direct observation of gravitational waves was made on 14 September 2015 and was announced by the LIGO[3] and Virgo collaborations on 11 February 2016." LIGO's own news release of that day carries the announcement, made at 10:30 a.m. Eastern at the National Press Club, where this pin is placed.At a press conference at the National Press Club in Washington, the LIGO and Virgo collaborations announce GW150914, a signal from the merger of two black holes recorded by both LIGO detectors on 14 September 2015 - the first direct observation of gravitational waves.0.63Thirty Meter Telescope Decision Deadline
Mauna Kea, Hawaii
DELAYED68% CONFIDENCEin 99 daysDate has moved, per the pin description: "…. A 30-metre segmented-mirror telescope stalled for a decade by opposition to building on Mauna Kea,…"A 30-metre segmented-mirror telescope stalled for a decade by opposition to building on Mauna Kea, with La Palma as the alternate site. Estimated date.0.63The Airbus A350F Makes Its First Flight
ESTIMATED76% CONFIDENCEin 1 dayA reported target rather than a fixed date, per aircargonews.net[1][4] quoting Reuters: the airframer "is hopeful the first flight will take place on around 24 September, although there is always the chance that technical issues or inclement weather could push that date back into October"; Airbus[2][5] itself would say only that "the maiden flight is expected later in 2026".Airbus’ first clean-sheet large freighter is expected to fly from Toulouse around 24 September, opening a roughly 400-hour, nine-month certification campaign flown by MSN700 and MSN701 ahead of a first delivery in the second half of 2027.0.63GLOBALFOUNDRIES will jump directly from 14nm to 7nm
CONFIRMED79% CONFIDENCE8.5 years agoHappened as dated, per hexus.net[1]: "…xf Add to My Vault: GLOBALFOUNDRIES has announced that it plans to power straight through to 7nm Fin…"Tech expected to be ready for chip designers in H2 2017, production in early 2018. It will skip "the marginal performance and power benefits for the high cost of the 10nm process node" to hopefully become a leading differentiated 7nm chip fabricator ahead of major rivals.0.61Futuroscope Opens Mission Bermudes, Mack Rides' First Rocking Boat
CONFIRMED77% CONFIDENCE1.2 years agoTheme-park trade press (Coaster101[3], Lift Hills and Thrills) reported Mission Bermudes' public opening date as June 28, 2025.Futuroscope closes out its €300 million Vision 2025 expansion with Mission Bermudes, the debut installation of Mack Rides' Rocking Boat system, which lets its vessels drift like real boats before climbing onto coaster-like track.0.61NASA's Groundbreaking Mission to 'Touch' the Sun Will Launch in 2018
CONFIRMED86% CONFIDENCE8.1 years agoHappened as dated, per interestingengineering.com[1]: "…reaking Mission to ‘Touch’ the Sun Will Launch in 2018 NASA[3] has just announced that the Solar Probe…"NASA's Parker Solar Probe will be the first spacecraft to fly directly into the atmosphere of the Sun and explore its brutally hot corona.0.61Euclid Releases the Foundation of Its First Data Release
European Space Astronomy Centre, Camino Bajo del Castillo, Sexmo de Casarrubios, El Castillo, Comunidad de Ciudad y Tierra de Segovia, Villanueva de la Cañada, Community of Madrid, 28692, SpainEuropean Space Agency
ESTIMATED72% CONFIDENCEin 68 daysESA's[1][2] DR1 timeline page, updated 15 June 2026, gives DR1-Foundation as "November 2026" and the complete DR1 as mid-2027, and says exact release dates will be provided later. A month with no day is estimated at that month's last day, which puts this pin on 30 November 2026; it moves when ESA names the day.The first stage of Euclid Data Release 1 puts out all raw data and calibrated images, catalogues and spectra over about 1,900 square degrees of sky. The higher-level products for galaxy clustering and weak lensing follow in mid-2027.0.61JFK's New Terminal One Phase 1 Slips to Late 2026
DELAYED5 months late65% CONFIDENCEin 68 daysGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "This opening date has been pushed back to November 2026 at the earliest".The first phase of JFK's $9.5BN New Terminal One, originally due in June 2026, will not open before November 2026 at the earliest.$9.5B0.60
