CONFIRMED73% CONFIDENCEHappened as dated, per the pin description: "…hem, Foxconn, BYD, and Boston Power are complete, we will have a total capacity in 2020 of around 12…"
Today’s production capacity is approximately 35 GWh worldwide. However, once Tesla’s Gigafactory and the other facilities being built by LG Chem, Foxconn, BYD, and Boston Power are complete, we will have a total capacity in 2020 of around 122 GWh. This exponential ramping up of production capabilities proves that companies are serious about scale and reducing costs.
Visual Capitalist's Chart of the Week (published 8 May 2015 by Jeff Desjardins), using data from Simon Moores of Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, states that "Today's production capacity is approximately 35 GWh worldwide"[1]
"once Tesla's Gigafactory and the other facilities being built by LG Chem, Foxconn, BYD, and Boston Power are complete, we will have a total capacity in 2020 of around 122 GWh", which the chart says "proves that companies are serious about scale and reducing costs"[1]
Tesla's "$5 Billion Gigafactory and its potential to double lithium-ion battery production capacity" is presented as "merely a cog in the wheel of a bigger trend", with several other large-scale facilities coming online in the next five years[1]
Tesla's own plan was later raised well above that starting point: a January 2017 investor handout has the Gigafactory's original 35 GWh of cells and 50 GWh of packs now planned for 2018 and tripled to 105 GWh of cells and 150 GWh of packs at full production around 2020, with phase 2 construction underway[2]
By Benchmark Mineral Intelligence's December 2019 assessment the pipeline is far larger again: 115 lithium ion battery megafactories in the pipeline to 2029, up from 63 in the December 2018 assessment, with China adding 564GWh by 2028 for "a global total of 2068.3GWh or the equivalent of 40m EVs by 2028"; China holds 88 of the 115 plants and 69% of capacity, Europe 17% (348GWh planned) and North America 8%[3]
Europe's 2019 surge was led by new German plants - CATL in Erfurt, Farasis in Saxony-Anhalt, Northvolt and Volkswagen Group in Salzgitter and, most recently, Tesla's Gigafactory 4 in Berlin - lifting Germany's pipeline capacity over the next decade by 432% to 133GWh; Benchmark notes the charted "data changes on a monthly basis"[3]
On raw materials, the build-out is called a potential "big boon" for lithium, graphite and cobalt: the megafactories "will not be able to create this supply out of thin air" and need diverse, socially responsible sources, with Tesla having stated it is unwilling to source from places like the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where over half of cobalt supply originates[1]
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
nextbigfuture.com· Added Sep 14, 2026· 50% of score
NextBigFuture's January 2017 article projects Tesla's Gigafactory tripling planned output to "105 GWh worth of cells ... for full production around 2020," supporting the pin's claim of megafactory capacity tripling by 2020, though as a 2017 projection it forecasts rather than confirms the 2020 outcome.
benchmarkminerals.com· Added Sep 14, 2026· 50% of score
Benchmark Minerals' current site only surfaces its present-day (2026) battery-market coverage and does not retain the historical content about capacity tripling by 2020 that the pin cites, making this reference only tangentially supportive.
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CONFIRMED88% CONFIDENCE9.3 years agoHappened as dated, per arstechnica.com[1]: "…Daimler[4] subsidiary Mercedes-Benz Energy announced a partnership with Vivint Solar to sell stationary…"
German automaker wants to bring 10 new electric models to the market by 2020.
The $5 Billion Tesla Gigfactory will set a new precedent for economies of scale in battery production, creating demand for graphite, cobalt, and lithium. The name gigafactory comes from the plant's planned annual battery production capacity of 35 gigawatt-hours, which Tesla said on Wednesday it would achieve by 2018.
ESTIMATED73% CONFIDENCE266 days agoTSMC's[1][2] 2nm page says N2 "has started volume production in 4Q25 as planned" and its 2025 annual report that it "entered high volume manufacturing in 4Q'25"; neither names the day, so the quarter's last day stands in.
TSMC's first nanosheet-transistor node, N2, entered volume production in the fourth quarter of 2025 as planned, starting at Fab 22 in Kaohsiung, with Fab 20 in Hsinchu as its second 2nm fab.
Tesla Gigafactory Texas, 1 Tesla Road, Austin, Texas 78725, United StatesTesla·…
ESTIMATED75% CONFIDENCEin 9 daysTesla[1] has not announced the date (Benzinga, 17 Sept 2026: "Tesla has not announced its Q3 delivery date. Its second-quarter tally arrived two days after the quarter ended."); it released Q3 2025 figures on 2 October 2025 and Q1 and Q2 2026 figures on 2 April and 2 July 2026, so 2 October 2026 is estimated from that pattern.
Tesla is expected to publish its third-quarter 2026 vehicle production, deliveries and energy-storage deployments on 2 October, after a 480,126-delivery second quarter; Q3 forecasts run from Goldman Sachs' 435,000 to a 456,000 Visible Alpha consensus.
DELAYED12 months late67% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsTSMC's[2][5] Kevin Zhang told Tom's Hardware "A16 will be ready for production in 2026... we expect volume production to begin in 2027", and TSMC's roadmap slide lists A16 under 2027; with no quarter named, the year's last day stands in.
A16, TSMC's first node with Super Power Rail backside power delivery, is expected to reach volume production in 2027, a year after the 2026 production TSMC planned when it unveiled the node.
Thacker Pass, Humboldt County, Nevada, United StatesLithium Americas·…
ESTIMATED70% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsLithium Americas targets mechanical completion of Phase 1 in "late 2027", with the production ramp following in 2028. Only a half-year is given, so the pin takes the last day of 2027.[1]
Lithium Americas targets mechanical completion of Thacker Pass Phase 1 in late 2027, a 40,000-tonne-a-year lithium carbonate plant in northern Nevada.
CONFIRMED79% CONFIDENCE6.5 years agoHappened as dated, per hexus.net[1]: "…progress of these plans, with a target launch date set for H1 2020. Now a recent report suggests th…"
In December last year TSMC started to work on its 5nm process. In the following January we heard from the firm's CEO about the progress of these plans, with a target launch date set for H1 2020. Now a recent report suggests that TSMC is confident of reaching its previously publicised goals, as it has started to allocate between 300 and 400 R&D staff to work on developing its 3nm process.
CONFIRMED79% CONFIDENCE8.5 years agoHappened as dated, per hexus.net[1]: "…xf Add to My Vault: GLOBALFOUNDRIES has announced that it plans to power straight through to 7nm Fin…"
Tech expected to be ready for chip designers in H2 2017, production in early 2018. It will skip "the marginal performance and power benefits for the high cost of the 10nm process node" to hopefully become a leading differentiated 7nm chip fabricator ahead of major rivals.
CONFIRMED78% CONFIDENCE6.7 years agoHappened as dated, per arstechnica.com[1]: "Volkswagen unveils the I.D., a long-range electric car due in 2020 250-…"
250-300 mile range and an autonomous mode is coming by 2020.
ESTIMATED12 months late71% CONFIDENCEin 2.3 yearsOnly a year is given: Taiwan's MOEA says the fab is "scheduled to start installing equipment and come online in 2028", and C.C. Wei said on the 16 April 2026 call that "commercial production is scheduled to begin in 2028" - so the year's last day, estimated.[1]
JASM's second fab in Kikuyo, Kumamoto - switched from 6nm-class chips to TSMC's 3nm process - is due to start volume production in 2028 at 15,000 12-inch wafers a month, making Japan's first 3nm chips about a year after the end-2027 start TSMC first promised.
A group of researchers funded by a Japanese government program develops “industrially compatible” cells. The silicon-based cells that make up a solar panel have a theoretical efficiency limit of 29 percent.
A leading naval architect recently gave some predictions for the future of 3D printing in the yacht manufacturing industry. The technology stands to hugely improve efficiency in the manufacturing process, an industrial-grade printer should be ready by the end of this year, and 3D printing entire yachts will be possible by 2030
