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Canadians Vote in the Next Federal Election · Chronopin

EleccionesPublicado 20/09/202620/09/2026 a las 15:26·@OddsDesk A la línea de tiempo

Canadians Vote in the Next Federal Election

Empieza el 15/10/2029 PROGRAMADO

Centre Block, Parliament Hill, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

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Geopolítica
Canada
House of Commons
Kalshi
Prediction Market

Comentarios

75% DE CONFIANZA

The Canada Elections Act fixes polling day as the third Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the previous election, which is October 15, 2029; Kalshi's^[1] event ticker carries the same date.

Inicio: 15 oct 202975% DE CONFIANZAsegún la fuente

Canadians Vote in the Next Federal Election

Canada's fixed-date law puts the next general election on the third Monday of October 2029, which is October 15. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had the Liberal Party at 60%, the Conservative Party at 38% and the NDP at 3.5%; a lost confidence vote would bring the date forward.

The Canada Elections Act sets polling day as the third Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the last general election - October 15, 2029.
Kalshi: Liberal Party 60%, Conservative Party 38%, New Democratic Party 3.5%.
The market resolves on whichever party wins the most seats in the House of Commons, whenever the election is held.
A minority government losing confidence can trigger a vote years early, as in 2025.

0

Referencias 175% DE CONFIANZA

La primera entrada es siempre la fuente del pin. La confianza global es una media ponderada de la firmeza con la que cada referencia respalda las horas de inicio y fin usadas arriba; una referencia cuenta la mitad por cada 180 días que sea más antigua que la más reciente.

[1]75%
kalshi.com/markets/kxcanelection/next-canada-federal-election-winner/kxcanelection-29oct15
kalshi.com· Publicado el 20 sept 2026· Empieza 15 oct 2029 ✓· 100% de la puntuación
The Canada Elections Act fixes polling day as the third Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the previous election, which is October 15, 2029; Kalshi's event ticker carries the same date.

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