- Start
- Apr 18, 202775% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
France Votes in the 2027 Presidential Election
- The president is elected over two rounds; a candidate needs more than half the vote to win outright in the first.
- Polymarket: Marine Le Pen 37%, Edouard Philippe 25%, Jean-Luc Melenchon 13%, Francois Hollande 5.2%, David Lisnard 5.1%.
- The market covers an early election too, and resolves on the second round.
- Macron is barred from a third consecutive term.
References 378% CONFIDENCE
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]75%polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-electionpolymarket.com· Posted Sep 20, 2026· Starts Apr 18, 2027 ✓· 33% of score
The French government announced the date after a cabinet meeting on 30 June 2026, and the official service-public.gouv.fr[2] page now gives the rounds as "April 18 and May 2, 2027". This replaces the earlier reading, which derived April 11 from the constitutional window because Polymarket[3] said only "around April 2027".
- [2]95%What are the dates of the next elections? - Service-Public.gouv.frservice-public.gouv.fr· Added Sep 21, 2026· 33% of score
The French government's official public-service page, giving the presidential rounds as "April 18 and May 2, 2027"; read in this run.[1]
- [3]65%Macron out by...? - Polymarketpolymarket.com· Added Sep 20, 2026· 33% of score
The companion market on Macron leaving office early is what would bring the election forward, so it bounds how firm the April 2027 date is.[1]
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Junta Electoral Central
