The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
The French government announced the date after a cabinet meeting on 30 June 2026, and the official service-public.gouv.fr[2] page now gives the rounds as "April 18 and May 2, 2027". This replaces the earlier reading, which derived April 11 from the constitutional window because Polymarket[3] said only "around April 2027".
The French government's official public-service page, giving the presidential rounds as "April 18 and May 2, 2027"; read in this run.[1]
The companion market on Macron leaving office early is what would bring the election forward, so it bounds how firm the April 2027 date is.[1]
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Junta Electoral Central