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US Fiscal Year 2027 Begins on a Stopgap
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of the Treasury
PROGRAMMÉCONFIANCE 84 %dans 8 joursThe US federal fiscal year runs 1 October to 30 September, so fiscal year 2027 begins on 1 October 2026 and ends on 30 September 2027.[1]PolymarketFiscal year 2027 starts on 1 October 2026 with none of the twelve appropriations bills through both chambers, so the government runs on the continuing resolution signed in September rather than on a budget.0.80The President's Budget Request Falls Due
PROGRAMMÉCONFIANCE 83 %dans 131 joursThe Budget Enforcement Act of 1990 requires the President to submit the budget no later than the first Monday in February, which in 2027 is 1 February.[1]The statutory deadline for the President to send the fiscal 2028 budget to Congress is the first Monday in February 2027 - a deadline no president has met in over a decade.0.76Microsoft FY27 Q1 Earnings Release and Conference Call
ESTIMÉCONFIANCE 67 %dans 35 joursMicrosoft[1][2][4] has not named the date (its investor site says "The next earnings release will be announced soon"); its last eight results 8-Ks on SEC EDGAR were all filed on the last Wednesday of the month after the quarter (FY26 Q1 on 29 October 2025, then 28 January, 29 April and 29 July 2026), each with a conference call "at 2:30 p.m. Pacific time (5:30 p.m. Eastern time)", so Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 2:30 p.m. PDT (21:30 UTC) is estimated; Wall Street Horizon[3] also lists it "UNCONFIRMED for Wednesday 10/28/2026 After Market", while some calendars show 27 October.Microsoft is expected to report its first fiscal 2027 quarter after the market close, most likely on Wednesday 28 October, and discuss it on a 2:30 p.m. Pacific webcast; the previous quarter brought $90.0 billion of revenue, up 18%.0.70The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMMÉCONFIANCE 85 %dans 1,2 anThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "December 7-8" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its December 7-8 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 73%, Cut 25bps 13%, Hike 25bps 6%.0.70India Presents the 2027-28 Union Budget
ESTIMÉCONFIANCE 68 %dans 131 joursFebruary 1 became the Union Budget's presentation date in 2017 and has held every year since, including the 2026-27 budget presented on Sunday 1 February 2026. The Lok Sabha Speaker confirms the date each year and has not yet done so for 2027-28, so the pin follows the convention rather than a confirmed announcement.[1]India's finance minister presents the Union Budget for 2027-28 in the Lok Sabha, by convention on 1 February at 11am.0.69The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMMÉCONFIANCE 85 %dans 259 joursThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "June 8-9" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its June 8-9 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Cut >25bps 28%, Hike 25bps 20%.0.69HPE Fiscal Q4 and Full-Year 2026 Earnings Call
CityPlace 8 - Hewlett Packard Enterprise, East Mossy Oaks Road, Spring, Texas 77373, United StatesHewlett Packard Enterprise…
ESTIMÉCONFIANCE 72 %dans 71 joursHPE[4][6] has not named the date yet (it announced the Q3 call three weeks ahead: "Wednesday, September 2 at 3:30 p.m. CT (4:30 p.m. ET)"); its FY25 Q4 call was "Thursday, December 04, 2025, 05:00 PM Eastern", and MarketBeat[2] says HPE "has not confirmed its next earnings publication date, but the company's estimated earnings date is Thursday, December 3rd, 2026" after market close, with Zacks[3] listing 12/03/2026 as "an estimated date". So Thursday 3 December 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET (21:30 UTC), the time of HPE's latest call, is estimated; its Q4 calls in 2024 and 2025 started at 5:00 p.m. ET.HPE is expected to report fiscal Q4 and full-year 2026 results after the close, most likely on Thursday 3 December, having guided to $13.9-14.8 billion of quarterly revenue and $1.20-1.30 of non-GAAP EPS; HPE has not yet announced the date.0.69The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMMÉCONFIANCE 85 %dans 175 joursThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "March 16-17" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its March 16-17 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 67%, Hike 25bps 27%, Cut 25bps 10%.0.69The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting
PROGRAMMÉCONFIANCE 85 %dans 357 joursThe Federal Reserve's[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "September 14-15" 2027, and Kalshi's[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".KalshiThe FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its September 14-15 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Hike 25bps 20%, Cut 25bps 6%.0.69Trump Signs the Stopgap That Funds the Government to December 11
CONFIRMÉCONFIANCE 90 %il y a 21 joursThe White House[1] statement dates the signing of H.R. 6500 to Wednesday, September 2, 2026. The act is in force from that day and its appropriations run to 11 December 2026, the date named in section 106(3) of the enrolled text.H.R. 6500, the Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027, was signed on 2 September 2026, four weeks before the fiscal year ran out. Its appropriations run from 1 October to 11 December 2026, pushing the next shutdown fight past the midterm elections.0.68Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
PROGRAMMÉCONFIANCE 78 %dans 35 joursThe Federal Reserve's[2][5] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the October 27-28 meeting, and the policy statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi's[1] market strikes on October 28, 2026 at 18:00 UTC.KalshiThe Federal Open Market Committee announces its October 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on October 28, six weeks after raising the federal funds target range a quarter point to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16, its first hike since 2023. On 19 September 2026 Kalshi traders were split between holding the rate and a second 25bp hike, with cuts priced near zero.0.68Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DC
PROGRAMMÉCONFIANCE 78 %dans 77 joursThe Federal Reserve’s[2] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the December 8–9 meeting, and the statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi’s[1][4] market expires December 9, 2026 at 19:05 UTC and closes at 18:59 UTC, minutes before the announcement.KalshiPolymarketThe Federal Open Market Committee announces its final 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on December 9, the last of the year’s eight scheduled meetings. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had a second consecutive quarter-point hike as the favourite at 67%, with a hold at 31% and cuts priced near zero; Polymarket agreed almost to the point.0.67
