- Start
- Dec 31, 202675% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
Ethereum's 2026 High Is Fixed at Year-End
- The Kalshi event resolves on Ethereum’s 2026 high and expires at 05:00 UTC on January 1, 2027, on about 2.5M contracts[1]
- Kalshi ladder: above $3,500 at 30%, above $3,750 25%, above $4,000 22%, above $4,250 19%, above $4,500 11%, above $5,000 9% and above $6,000 3%[1]
- Polymarket’s "what price will Ethereum hit in 2026" book prices a touch of $3,000 at 59.5%, $3,500 at 32% and $4,000 at 16.5%, so the two exchanges are within a couple of points at the $3,500 and $4,000 strikes[2]
- Ether traded near $2,600 on September 20, 2026; both books have already settled the $2,000 and $2,500 rungs as touched[2]
References 278% CONFIDENCE
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]75%kalshi.com/markets/kxethmaxy/how-high-will-ethereum-get-this-year/kxethmaxy-27jan01kalshi.com· Posted Sep 20, 2026· Starts Dec 31, 2026 ✓· 50% of score
A year-high market is decided when the year ends: Kalshi expires the event at 05:00 UTC on January 1, 2027, which makes December 31, 2026 the last day it can be settled on. The date is fixed by the market’s own terms, not estimated.
- [2]80%Polymarket: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?polymarket.com· Added Sep 20, 2026· 50% of score
Polymarket runs the same year-high question with its own liquidity ($14.7M) and prices $3,500 at 32% against Kalshi’s[1] 30%, a close independent cross-check.
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