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Guatemala Votes for a President and Congress
推定確度 60%280 日後Wikipedia[1] gives "June and August 2027 (presumptive)" and states the first round will be held "in June 2027" with a runoff in August; with only the month fixed, the pin takes the last day of June.Guatemalans elect a president, all 160 seats in Congress and 340 municipal governments in June 2027, with a presidential runoff in August if nobody wins outright.0.67Finland Elects Its First Post-NATO Parliament
予定確度 85%207 日後The Ministry of Justice's own election service gives the election day as "Sunday 18 April 2027", matching Wikipedia's[1] "Parliamentary elections will be held in Finland on 18 April 2027".Finns elect the 200 members of the Eduskunta on 18 April 2027, the first parliamentary election since Finland joined NATO in 2023.0.66Kenya Votes for a President, Senate and Assembly
予定確度 78%321 日後Wikipedia[1] states "General elections are scheduled to be held in Kenya on 10 August 2027", the second Tuesday in August that Kenya's constitution fixes for a general election.Kenyans elect a president and the members of the National Assembly and Senate on 10 August 2027. Incumbent William Ruto is seeking a second term.0.65Argentina Votes for a President and Congress
予定確度 75%1.1 年後Wikipedia[1] states "General elections are scheduled to take place in Argentina on 24 October 2027", the fourth Sunday of October that Argentine law sets for a general election.Argentines choose a president and renew Congress on 24 October 2027, the first presidential election since Javier Milei's 2023 win.0.64- 0.63
Mexico Elects a New Chamber of Deputies
予定確度 75%256 日後Wikipedia[1] states "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Mexico on 6 June 2027", the first Sunday of June set by Mexican electoral law.Mexicans elect all 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies on 6 June 2027, the midterm test of Claudia Sheinbaum's supermajority, held alongside state elections.0.63- 0.61
Nigeria Votes for a President and National Assembly
予定確度 80%115 日後Wikipedia[1] states "General elections will be held in Nigeria on 16 January 2027 to elect the president and vice president, members of the Senate and House of Representatives", and INEC's own published election calendar carries the same date.Nigerians elect a president, vice president, senators and members of the House of Representatives on 16 January 2027, with governorship and state assembly votes following on 6 February.0.60モロッコ、下院（代議院）総選挙を実施
確定確度 88%今日実施中であることが確認されている。maroc.ma[1][3][6]は「Jour du scrutin : Vote sur l'ensemble du territoire national pour l'élection des membres de la Chambre des représentants」を「23 septembre 2026」と記載し、APは「北アフリカの同王国全土の投票所は現地時間午前8時から午後7時まで開いている」と伝えた（モロッコは9月20日以降GMT）。モロッコでは2026年9月23日（水）午前8時から午後7時まで、代議院の全395議席を選ぶ投票が行われ、結果は翌日に判明する見通し。死者を出したZ世代主導の若者デモ以降、初の国政選挙となる。0.60The New House of Representatives Elects Its Speaker
United States Capitol, Washington, DC
予定確度 72%102 日後The Twentieth Amendment fixes the new Congress’s first meeting at noon on January 3, and House rules make the Speaker election its first order of business. Kalshi[1] does not date its market, which runs to 2031.KalshiPolymarketThe Congress elected in the 2026 midterms first meets on January 3, 2027, and the House can do no other business until it has a Speaker. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's market on the next new Speaker had Hakeem Jeffries at 86% — the table's chance, against “88% chance” on the order ticket beside it — with Jim Jordan at 10% and Steve Scalise at 2.6%.0.59Israelis Elect the Next Knesset
Knesset, Kiryat Ben-Gurion, Jerusalem
予定確度 72%34 日後Polymarket's[1][3] rules state "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026", a Tuesday, the weekday Israeli elections are always held on.PolymarketKalshiIsrael's legislative election is set for Tuesday, October 27, 2026. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket's market on who is sworn in as prime minister afterwards had Gadi Eizenkot at 52%, Benjamin Netanyahu at 30% and Naftali Bennett at 10%; Kalshi put a new government winning a Knesset confidence vote by February 3, 2027 at 89%.0.57The Gambia Elects a National Assembly
予定確度 78%199 日後Wikipedia[1] states "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in The Gambia on 10 April 2027", citing the IEC's announcement of its 2026-2027 election dates.Gambians elect the 53 constituency seats of the National Assembly on 10 April 2027, a date announced by the Independent Electoral Commission.0.57
Junta Electoral Central
