The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
Tesla has not named the date yet (it does so in the quarter's deliveries release, as the Q2 one did: "after market close on Wednesday, July 22, 2026 ... webcast that day at 4:30 p.m. Central Time"); Q3 2025 was Wednesday 22 October 2025 and Wall Street Horizon[2] lists Q3 2026 as "UNCONFIRMED for Wednesday 10/21/2026 After Market", so Wednesday 21 October at 4:30 p.m. CDT (21:30 UTC) is estimated; MarketBeat's[3] algorithm says 28 October.
Wall Street Horizon's event calendar: Q3 2026 forecast for Wednesday 21 October 2026 after market, unconfirmed, with Tesla's confirmed dates for the prior four quarters.
MarketBeat: Q2 2026 EPS of $0.33 against a $0.50 consensus and $28.24B revenue against $26.42B, and an estimated 28 October Q3 date.
Tesla's Q2 deliveries release, which announced the 22 July results and 4:30 p.m. CT webcast: the release that will name the Q3 date.[1]
Tesla's Q3 2025 release announcing results and the webcast for Wednesday 22 October 2025 at 4:30 p.m. CT, the precedent for this quarter.[1]
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In a conference call following the release of the results, CEO Elon Musk made new comments announcing that Tesla plans to hold a “handover event,” which generally means the first deliveries of a new car, toward “the end of the third quarter.”
This would put the first Tesla Cybertruck deliveries around September 2023. It’s the most precise timing of Cybertruck deliveries that Tesla has released to date.
Based on the launch of Tesla’s most recent models, especially the Model Y, we should expect Tesla to only deliver a few Cybertrucks during the delivery event, likely only to Tesla insiders, and we can expect months between the event and the start of deliveries to customers.
Interestingly, Musk also said that Cybertruck reservation holders should expect to get an update on specs and pricing at that event at the end of Q3.
In previous comments, Musk indicated that the Cybertruck would be available in a new top-of-the-line variant with quad motors rather than the tri-motor powertrain originally announced.
