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Google Releases Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber
確定確度 88%21 日前Google's[2] own post, dated Sep 02, 2026, says "today we're introducing Gemini 3.8", and CNBC[6] reports the company "on Wednesday launched Gemini 3.8 Flash".Google launches Gemini 3.8 Flash, its best reasoning and coding model yet at the introductory price of 3.7 Flash, alongside Gemini 3.8 Flash Cyber, a vulnerability-finding and patching model offered only to trusted government and enterprise defenders through its new Fairwind Program.0.71Google Releases Its Next Gemini Pro Model
推定確度 67%38 日後Google has announced nothing. The market’s heaviest window is October 16–31, 2026, worth 42.5 points against 29 for the first half of October and 13 for all of September, so the pin takes the last day of that window. The day-by-day companion book leaves 88% on "no release by September 30".[1]PolymarketPolymarketOn 20 September 2026 Polymarket’s ladder for Google’s next Gemini Pro release climbed from 13% by September 30 to 42% by October 15 and 84.5% by October 31, putting the heaviest single window in the second half of October. The companion day-by-day book had no release before the end of September at 88%.0.63Gaia Data Release 4 Opens to the World
European Space Astronomy Centre, Camino Bajo del Castillo, Sexmo de Casarrubios, El Castillo, Comunidad de Ciudad y Tierra de Segovia, Villanueva de la Cañada, Community of Madrid, 28692, SpainEuropean Space Agency
予定確度 80%70 日後ESA's[1][2] own Gaia Data Release 4 page states the date as a commitment - "Coming up: 2 December 2026" - and says the release-day stories summarising the data products will be published on the day itself. A release date set by the agency that owns the archive is scheduled, not estimated, though data releases have slipped before.ESA publishes the fourth Gaia data release, the mission's first principal release, covering the first 5.5 years of observations. It adds astrometric time series, an exoplanet list and the software to work with them.0.61OpenAI Retires 6 GPT-5 and o3 Models
予定確度 80%79 日後OpenAI's[1][2] own deprecation page, announced 2026-06-11, gives the shutdown date as 11 December 2026. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.OpenAI switches off 6 models and endpoints on 11 December 2026; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements. Going: gpt-5-2025-08-07, gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07, gpt-5-nano-2025-08-07, gpt-5-pro-2025-10-06, o3-2025-04-16, o3-pro-2025-06-10.0.60OpenAI Retires 17 Legacy GPT Model Snapshots
予定確度 80%30 日後OpenAI's[1][2] own deprecation page, announced 2026-04-22, gives the shutdown date as 23 October 2026. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.OpenAI switches off 17 models and endpoints on 23 October 2026; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements. Going: gpt-3.5-turbo-0125, gpt-4-0613, gpt-4-1106-preview, gpt-4-turbo, gpt-4.1-nano, gpt-4o-2024-05-13, gpt-image-1, o1-2024-12-17, o1-pro-2025-03-19, o3-mini-2025-01-31, ft-o4-mini-2025-04-16, o4-mini-2025-04-16 and 5 more.0.60OpenAI Retires 3 GPT Image Models
予定確度 80%69 日後OpenAI's[1][2] own deprecation page, announced 2026-06-02, gives the shutdown date as 1 December 2026. A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.OpenAI switches off 3 models and endpoints on 1 December 2026; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements. Going: gpt-image-1-mini, gpt-image-1.5, chatgpt-image-latest.0.60TSMC's Third Arizona Fab Starts Volume Production on N2 and A16
推定確度 58%3.3 年後TSMC's[1][4] Arizona page gives only a span: "Third Fab: In April 2025, TSMC broke ground on the site of the third fab, slated for N2 and A16 process technologies. Targeting volume production by the end of the decade." - so the decade's last day, estimated.The third fab on TSMC's north Phoenix campus, where ground was broken in April 2025, is slated for its 2nm (N2) and A16 processes and targeted for volume production by the end of the decade - the most advanced chipmaking TSMC has committed to the United States.0.60OpenAI Retires 4 Legacy GPT Model Snapshots
予定確度 80%5 日後OpenAI's[1][2] own deprecation page, announced 2025-09-26, gives the shutdown date as 28 September 2026 (re-checked 2026-09-23, unchanged). A shutdown date is the vendor's commitment to developers and is occasionally pushed back, never brought forward.OpenAI switches off 4 models and endpoints on 28 September 2026; requests to them stop working and callers have to move to the named replacements. Going: gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct, babbage-002, davinci-002, gpt-3.5-turbo-1106.0.59- 0.59
LIGO, Virgo and KAGRA Begin the IR1 Observing Run
NSF LIGO - Hanford, 127124, North Route 10, Richland, Benton County, Washington, 99354, United StatesLIGO
推定確度 68%53 日後The collaborations' own observing plan, last updated 3 September 2026, gives only a window - a six-month run "beginning early- to mid-November of 2026" - and says the next update is due 15 October 2026 or sooner. With no day named, the pin takes the close of the stated window rather than its start, so it is not early; it moves when the collaborations name the day.[1]The gravitational-wave detectors start a six-month intermediate observing run before the fifth observing run. Both LIGO detectors take part, Virgo joins despite possible maintenance interruptions, and KAGRA joins as it becomes available.0.58- 0.58
- €1.5B0.58
