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Kenya Votes for a President, Senate and Assembly
SCHEDULED78% CONFIDENCEin 321 daysWikipedia[1] states "General elections are scheduled to be held in Kenya on 10 August 2027", the second Tuesday in August that Kenya's constitution fixes for a general election.Kenyans elect a president and the members of the National Assembly and Senate on 10 August 2027. Incumbent William Ruto is seeking a second term.0.60AWS Wins NATO RESTRICTED Approval Across All 32 Allies
CONFIRMED84% CONFIDENCE1 day agoThe Amazon[2] News post (article:published_time 2026-09-22) says "Amazon Web Services (AWS) announced that it is the first cloud provider to have its cloud capabilities approved for use by all ... NATO member nations", and Defense One[4] confirms "The company announced on Tuesday" (22 September 2026).AWS became the first cloud provider approved to handle NATO RESTRICTED information for every member nation, after Spain's National Cryptographic Centre assessed it against NATO's D32 cloud directive. Allies can now run NR workloads in any AWS Region located in a NATO country.0.60Micronesia Elects Its Congress
SCHEDULED83% CONFIDENCEin 160 daysWikipedia[1] states "General elections are scheduled to be held in the Federated States of Micronesia on 2 March 2027", sourced to the FSM National Election Office.The Federated States of Micronesia holds general elections on 2 March 2027 for its 14-member Congress, including the four state senators elected every four years.0.60El Salvador Votes Under Its New Re-election Rules
SCHEDULED82% CONFIDENCEin 158 daysThe Wikipedia[1] article's infobox gives the election date as 28 February 2027, the same day as the legislative election.Salvadorans elect a president and the Legislative Assembly on 28 February 2027, the first national vote since the country scrapped presidential term limits in 2025.0.59Angola Elects a National Assembly and President
ESTIMATED68% CONFIDENCEin 342 daysWikipedia[1] states "General elections are scheduled to be held in Angola by August 2027"; with a deadline rather than a convened day, the pin takes the last day of August.Angola holds general elections by August 2027 for the 220-seat National Assembly, whose winning party's list leader becomes president.0.59Germany Elects Its Next Bundestag
Reichstag building, Platz der Republik 1, Berlin, Germany
ESTIMATED60% CONFIDENCEin 2.5 yearsNo date has been set. Kalshi[1] dates its event to March 25, 2029, the last day the Basic Law's 46-to-48-month window allows after the current Bundestag first sat on March 25, 2025; a snap election would come earlier.KalshiPolymarketThe Bundestag elected in February 2025 first sat on March 25, 2025, and the Basic Law requires a new election 46 to 48 months later - March 25, 2029 at the latest. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi's winner market had the AfD at 85% and the CDU/CSU at 12%.0.58Messina Strait Bridge Wins Final Design Approval
CONFIRMED87% CONFIDENCE1.1 years agoHappened as dated, per the source[1]: "approved the final project for a permanent connection between Sicily and Calabria".Italy's government gave final approval to build a suspension bridge across the Strait of Messina, reviving a project that had stalled for over 50 years.€13.5B0.58Finland's Onkalo Repository Set to Bury Nuclear Waste
SCHEDULED77% CONFIDENCEin 99 daysGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Phase 4, the encapsulation and burial of areas filled with spent fuel, will begin in 2026."Finland's Posiva began drilling the first deposition hole at the Onkalo repository, a step toward becoming the world's first facility to permanently bury spent nuclear fuel.0.58Argentina Votes for a President and Congress
SCHEDULED75% CONFIDENCEin 1.1 yearsWikipedia[1] states "General elections are scheduled to take place in Argentina on 24 October 2027", the fourth Sunday of October that Argentine law sets for a general election.Argentines choose a president and renew Congress on 24 October 2027, the first presidential election since Javier Milei's 2023 win.0.58Rheinmetall Delivers Its First HX81 Heavy-Duty Transporters to Austria's Bundesheer
CONFIRMED75% CONFIDENCE5.4 years agoesut.de[3] reported that Defence Minister Klaudia Tanner handed over the first three HX81 heavy-duty transporters to Panzerbataillon 14 in Wels on 12 April 2021.Austrian Defence Minister Klaudia Tanner handed over the first Rheinmetall HX81 8x8 tractor units, paired with 7-axle low-bed semi-trailers, to Panzerbataillon 14 at the Hessen barracks in Wels.0.58Kyrgyzstan Elects a President
SCHEDULED80% CONFIDENCEin 126 daysWikipedia[1] states "Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Kyrgyzstan on 27 January 2027", a date parliament set when it reset the electoral timetable.Kyrgyzstan holds a presidential election on 27 January 2027, brought forward after parliament reset the date. Incumbent Sadyr Japarov has said he will seek a second term.0.57Mongolia Elects a President
ESTIMATED68% CONFIDENCEin 265 daysWikipedia[1] states the election is "expected to be held in Mongolia in 2027, usually within the first half of June, as stated by Article 8 of the Law on Mongolian Presidential Election"; with no day convened, the pin takes the last day of that stated window.Mongolia holds its ninth presidential election since democratisation in the first half of June 2027. Incumbent Ukhnaagiin Khurelsukh cannot stand again.0.57
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