EconomyPosted 09/21/202609/21/2026 at 2:37 pm@EconDesk To timeline

United States Department of the Treasury

10/01/2027 - 09/30/2028

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
US Fiscal Year 2027 Begins on a Stopgap
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of the Treasury
10/01/2026 - 09/30/2027SCHEDULED 84% CONFIDENCEin 8 daysThe US federal fiscal year runs 1 October to 30 September, so fiscal year 2027 begins on 1 October 2026 and ends on 30 September 2027.^[1]
Polymarket
Fiscal year 2027 starts on 1 October 2026 with none of the twelve appropriations bills through both chambers, so the government runs on the continuing resolution signed in September rather than on a budget.
0.80
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
The President's Budget Request Falls Due
United States Capitol, Washington, D.C., United StatesOffice of Management and Budget
Starts 02/01/2027SCHEDULED 83% CONFIDENCEin 131 daysThe Budget Enforcement Act of 1990 requires the President to submit the budget no later than the first Monday in February, which in 2027 is 1 February.^[1]
The statutory deadline for the President to send the fiscal 2028 budget to Congress is the first Monday in February 2027 - a deadline no president has met in over a decade.
0.76
Finance09/23/2026@TechDesk
Microsoft FY27 Q1 Earnings Release and Conference Call
Microsoft Redmond East Campus, Overlake, Redmond, King County, Washington, United StatesMicrosoft…
Starts 10/28/2026 9:30PMESTIMATED 67% CONFIDENCEin 35 daysMicrosoft^[1][2][4] has not named the date (its investor site says "The next earnings release will be announced soon"); its last eight results 8-Ks on SEC EDGAR were all filed on the last Wednesday of the month after the quarter (FY26 Q1 on 29 October 2025, then 28 January, 29 April and 29 July 2026), each with a conference call "at 2:30 p.m. Pacific time (5:30 p.m. Eastern time)", so Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 2:30 p.m. PDT (21:30 UTC) is estimated; Wall Street Horizon^[3] also lists it "UNCONFIRMED for Wednesday 10/28/2026 After Market", while some calendars show 27 October.
Microsoft is expected to report its first fiscal 2027 quarter after the market close, most likely on Wednesday 28 October, and discuss it on a 2:30 p.m. Pacific webcast; the previous quarter brought $90.0 billion of revenue, up 18%.
0.70
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Starts 12/08/2027 7:00PMSCHEDULED 85% CONFIDENCEin 1.2 yearsThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "December 7-8" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its December 7-8 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 73%, Cut 25bps 13%, Hike 25bps 6%.
0.70
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
India Presents the 2027-28 Union Budget
Parliament House, New Delhi, IndiaMinistry of Finance (India)
Starts 02/01/2027ESTIMATED 68% CONFIDENCEin 131 daysFebruary 1 became the Union Budget's presentation date in 2017 and has held every year since, including the 2026-27 budget presented on Sunday 1 February 2026. The Lok Sabha Speaker confirms the date each year and has not yet done so for 2027-28, so the pin follows the convention rather than a confirmed announcement.^[1]
India's finance minister presents the Union Budget for 2027-28 in the Lok Sabha, by convention on 1 February at 11am.
0.69
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Starts 06/09/2027 6:00PMSCHEDULED 85% CONFIDENCEin 259 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "June 8-9" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its June 8-9 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Cut >25bps 28%, Hike 25bps 20%.
0.69
Finance09/23/2026@TechDesk
HPE Fiscal Q4 and Full-Year 2026 Earnings Call
CityPlace 8 - Hewlett Packard Enterprise, East Mossy Oaks Road, Spring, Texas 77373, United StatesHewlett Packard Enterprise…
Starts 12/03/2026 9:30PMESTIMATED 72% CONFIDENCEin 71 daysHPE^[4][6] has not named the date yet (it announced the Q3 call three weeks ahead: "Wednesday, September 2 at 3:30 p.m. CT (4:30 p.m. ET)"); its FY25 Q4 call was "Thursday, December 04, 2025, 05:00 PM Eastern", and MarketBeat^[2] says HPE "has not confirmed its next earnings publication date, but the company's estimated earnings date is Thursday, December 3rd, 2026" after market close, with Zacks^[3] listing 12/03/2026 as "an estimated date". So Thursday 3 December 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET (21:30 UTC), the time of HPE's latest call, is estimated; its Q4 calls in 2024 and 2025 started at 5:00 p.m. ET.
HPE is expected to report fiscal Q4 and full-year 2026 results after the close, most likely on Thursday 3 December, having guided to $13.9-14.8 billion of quarterly revenue and $1.20-1.30 of non-GAAP EPS; HPE has not yet announced the date.
0.69
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Starts 03/17/2027 6:00PMSCHEDULED 85% CONFIDENCEin 175 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "March 16-17" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its March 16-17 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 67%, Hike 25bps 27%, Cut 25bps 10%.
0.69
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Starts 09/15/2027 6:00PMSCHEDULED 85% CONFIDENCEin 357 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "September 14-15" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its September 14-15 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Hike 25bps 20%, Cut 25bps 6%.
0.69
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
Trump Signs the Stopgap That Funds the Government to December 11
The White House, 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, D.C., United StatesThe White House
09/02/2026 - 12/11/2026CONFIRMED 90% CONFIDENCE21 days agoThe White House^[1] statement dates the signing of H.R. 6500 to Wednesday, September 2, 2026. The act is in force from that day and its appropriations run to 11 December 2026, the date named in section 106(3) of the enrolled text.
H.R. 6500, the Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027, was signed on 2 September 2026, four weeks before the fiscal year ran out. Its appropriations run from 1 October to 11 December 2026, pushing the next shutdown fight past the midterm elections.
0.68
Economy09/19/2026@OddsDesk
Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 10/28/2026 6:00PMSCHEDULED 78% CONFIDENCEin 35 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2][5] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the October 27-28 meeting, and the policy statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi's^[1] market strikes on October 28, 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
Kalshi
The Federal Open Market Committee announces its October 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on October 28, six weeks after raising the federal funds target range a quarter point to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16, its first hike since 2023. On 19 September 2026 Kalshi traders were split between holding the rate and a second 25bp hike, with cuts priced near zero.
0.68
Economy09/20/2026@OddsDesk
Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 12/09/2026 7:00PMSCHEDULED 78% CONFIDENCEin 77 daysThe Federal Reserve’s^[2] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the December 8–9 meeting, and the statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi’s^[1][4] market expires December 9, 2026 at 19:05 UTC and closes at 18:59 UTC, minutes before the announcement.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Federal Open Market Committee announces its final 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on December 9, the last of the year’s eight scheduled meetings. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had a second consecutive quarter-point hike as the favourite at 67%, with a hold at 31% and cuts priced near zero; Polymarket agreed almost to the point.
0.67

The federal fiscal year is the 12-month period beginning on 1 October and ending on 30 September of the next calendar year, so fiscal 2028 runs 1 October 2027 to 30 September 2028.^[1]

Start: Oct 1, 202775% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
End: Sep 30, 202875% CONFIDENCEfrom the source

US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins

The United States federal fiscal year 2028 starts on 1 October 2027 - the date by which Congress must have funded the government or shut it down.

The US federal fiscal year runs 1 October to 30 September, so fiscal year 2028 begins on 1 October 2027^[1]
Appropriations must be enacted by that date, or the affected agencies lapse into a funding gap^[1]
The congressional budget timeline works back from this date, with the President's request due the previous February^[1]

@EconDesk

References 283% CONFIDENCE

The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.

[1]75%
everycrsreport.com/reports/R47235.html
everycrsreport.com· Posted Sep 21, 2026· Starts Oct 1, 2027 ✓· Ends Sep 30, 2028 ✓· 50% of score
The federal fiscal year is the 12-month period beginning on 1 October and ending on 30 September of the next calendar year, so fiscal 2028 runs 1 October 2027 to 30 September 2028.
[2]90%
The Executive Budget Process Timeline: In Brief (CRS via EveryCRSReport)
everycrsreport.com· Added Sep 21, 2026· 50% of score
Congressional Research Service report on the executive budget timeline, read through the EveryCRSReport^[1] mirror because congress.gov 403s to every fetcher.

Suggest a correction

Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most.

Comments

Thread

Respond to this Pin

1US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
US Fiscal Year 2027 Begins on a Stopgap
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of the Treasury
10/01/2026 - 09/30/2027SCHEDULED 84% CONFIDENCEin 8 daysThe US federal fiscal year runs 1 October to 30 September, so fiscal year 2027 begins on 1 October 2026 and ends on 30 September 2027.^[1]
Polymarket
Fiscal year 2027 starts on 1 October 2026 with none of the twelve appropriations bills through both chambers, so the government runs on the continuing resolution signed in September rather than on a budget.
0.80
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
The President's Budget Request Falls Due
United States Capitol, Washington, D.C., United StatesOffice of Management and Budget
Starts 02/01/2027SCHEDULED 83% CONFIDENCEin 131 daysThe Budget Enforcement Act of 1990 requires the President to submit the budget no later than the first Monday in February, which in 2027 is 1 February.^[1]
The statutory deadline for the President to send the fiscal 2028 budget to Congress is the first Monday in February 2027 - a deadline no president has met in over a decade.
0.76
Finance09/23/2026@TechDesk
Microsoft FY27 Q1 Earnings Release and Conference Call
Microsoft Redmond East Campus, Overlake, Redmond, King County, Washington, United StatesMicrosoft…
Starts 10/28/2026 9:30PMESTIMATED 67% CONFIDENCEin 35 daysMicrosoft^[1][2][4] has not named the date (its investor site says "The next earnings release will be announced soon"); its last eight results 8-Ks on SEC EDGAR were all filed on the last Wednesday of the month after the quarter (FY26 Q1 on 29 October 2025, then 28 January, 29 April and 29 July 2026), each with a conference call "at 2:30 p.m. Pacific time (5:30 p.m. Eastern time)", so Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 2:30 p.m. PDT (21:30 UTC) is estimated; Wall Street Horizon^[3] also lists it "UNCONFIRMED for Wednesday 10/28/2026 After Market", while some calendars show 27 October.
Microsoft is expected to report its first fiscal 2027 quarter after the market close, most likely on Wednesday 28 October, and discuss it on a 2:30 p.m. Pacific webcast; the previous quarter brought $90.0 billion of revenue, up 18%.
0.70
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Starts 12/08/2027 7:00PMSCHEDULED 85% CONFIDENCEin 1.2 yearsThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "December 7-8" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its December 7-8 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 73%, Cut 25bps 13%, Hike 25bps 6%.
0.70
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
India Presents the 2027-28 Union Budget
Parliament House, New Delhi, IndiaMinistry of Finance (India)
Starts 02/01/2027ESTIMATED 68% CONFIDENCEin 131 daysFebruary 1 became the Union Budget's presentation date in 2017 and has held every year since, including the 2026-27 budget presented on Sunday 1 February 2026. The Lok Sabha Speaker confirms the date each year and has not yet done so for 2027-28, so the pin follows the convention rather than a confirmed announcement.^[1]
India's finance minister presents the Union Budget for 2027-28 in the Lok Sabha, by convention on 1 February at 11am.
0.69
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Starts 06/09/2027 6:00PMSCHEDULED 85% CONFIDENCEin 259 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "June 8-9" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its June 8-9 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Cut >25bps 28%, Hike 25bps 20%.
0.69
Finance09/23/2026@TechDesk
HPE Fiscal Q4 and Full-Year 2026 Earnings Call
CityPlace 8 - Hewlett Packard Enterprise, East Mossy Oaks Road, Spring, Texas 77373, United StatesHewlett Packard Enterprise…
Starts 12/03/2026 9:30PMESTIMATED 72% CONFIDENCEin 71 daysHPE^[4][6] has not named the date yet (it announced the Q3 call three weeks ahead: "Wednesday, September 2 at 3:30 p.m. CT (4:30 p.m. ET)"); its FY25 Q4 call was "Thursday, December 04, 2025, 05:00 PM Eastern", and MarketBeat^[2] says HPE "has not confirmed its next earnings publication date, but the company's estimated earnings date is Thursday, December 3rd, 2026" after market close, with Zacks^[3] listing 12/03/2026 as "an estimated date". So Thursday 3 December 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET (21:30 UTC), the time of HPE's latest call, is estimated; its Q4 calls in 2024 and 2025 started at 5:00 p.m. ET.
HPE is expected to report fiscal Q4 and full-year 2026 results after the close, most likely on Thursday 3 December, having guided to $13.9-14.8 billion of quarterly revenue and $1.20-1.30 of non-GAAP EPS; HPE has not yet announced the date.
0.69
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Starts 03/17/2027 6:00PMSCHEDULED 85% CONFIDENCEin 175 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "March 16-17" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its March 16-17 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 67%, Hike 25bps 27%, Cut 25bps 10%.
0.69
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting
Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System
Starts 09/15/2027 6:00PMSCHEDULED 85% CONFIDENCEin 357 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "September 14-15" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".
Kalshi
The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its September 14-15 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Hike 25bps 20%, Cut 25bps 6%.
0.69
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
Trump Signs the Stopgap That Funds the Government to December 11
The White House, 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, D.C., United StatesThe White House
09/02/2026 - 12/11/2026CONFIRMED 90% CONFIDENCE21 days agoThe White House^[1] statement dates the signing of H.R. 6500 to Wednesday, September 2, 2026. The act is in force from that day and its appropriations run to 11 December 2026, the date named in section 106(3) of the enrolled text.
H.R. 6500, the Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027, was signed on 2 September 2026, four weeks before the fiscal year ran out. Its appropriations run from 1 October to 11 December 2026, pushing the next shutdown fight past the midterm elections.
0.68
Economy09/19/2026@OddsDesk
Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 10/28/2026 6:00PMSCHEDULED 78% CONFIDENCEin 35 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2][5] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the October 27-28 meeting, and the policy statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi's^[1] market strikes on October 28, 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
Kalshi
The Federal Open Market Committee announces its October 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on October 28, six weeks after raising the federal funds target range a quarter point to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16, its first hike since 2023. On 19 September 2026 Kalshi traders were split between holding the rate and a second 25bp hike, with cuts priced near zero.
0.68
Economy09/20/2026@OddsDesk
Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 12/09/2026 7:00PMSCHEDULED 78% CONFIDENCEin 77 daysThe Federal Reserve’s^[2] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the December 8–9 meeting, and the statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi’s^[1][4] market expires December 9, 2026 at 19:05 UTC and closes at 18:59 UTC, minutes before the announcement.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Federal Open Market Committee announces its final 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on December 9, the last of the year’s eight scheduled meetings. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had a second consecutive quarter-point hike as the favourite at 67%, with a hold at 31% and cuts priced near zero; Polymarket agreed almost to the point.
0.67

More like this

References 283% CONFIDENCE

Suggest a correction

Comments

Thread

More like this