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Sizewell C Begins Generating
ESTIMATED61% CONFIDENCEin 8.7 yearsGiven as a target, not a fixed date, per the pin description: "…C intended to power six million homes. Estimated date.…"Britain's second new-build nuclear station, a near-copy of Hinkley Point C intended to power six million homes. Estimated date.£38B0.69Thailand-China Railway's First Phase Pushed to 2030
Nakhon Ratchasima, Thailand
DELAYED4 years late66% CONFIDENCEin 4.3 yearsGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Thailand targets 2030 completion of first phase of high-speed rail link to China".The Bangkok-to-Nakhon Ratchasima leg of Thailand's high-speed rail link to China, once due by 2026, is now targeted for 2030 after years of delays.0.67Hinkley Point C Reactor 1 Online
ESTIMATED63% CONFIDENCEin 3.7 yearsGiven as a target, not a fixed date, per en.wikipedia.org[1]: "…s. As of 2026, Unit 1 of the station is projected to come online in 2030, while the overall project…"Britain's first new nuclear plant in a generation, intended to supply roughly 7% of UK electricity. Estimated date, repeatedly revised.£48B0.66Crane Clean Energy Center Targets 2027 Restart
SCHEDULED78% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "we continue to expect to start this unit in 2027".Constellation Energy is working to bring the former Three Mile Island Unit 1 reactor back online to supply carbon-free power under a 20-year deal with Microsoft.$1.5B0.65BQE Rebuild Pushed Back to a 2030 Start
Brooklyn Heights Promenade, Brooklyn, New York, USA
DELAYED70% CONFIDENCEin 4.3 yearsStreetsblog's[3] report of 24 August 2026 on the new mayoral plan - 'Construction will start in 2030, wrap up in 2040', a 10-year $4 billion rebuild - is newer than the NYC[2] DOT project page's 2029 start, which is where the pin's earlier date came from. No day is given, so it is dated to the last day of 2030.New York's plan to rebuild the crumbling triple-cantilever section of the Brooklyn-Queens Expressway now targets a 2030 construction start after yet another mayoral reset.0.64Singapore Cross Island Line Phase 1 Targets 2030
ESTIMATED72% CONFIDENCEin 4.3 yearsA target, per the source[1]: "Phase 1 of the Cross Island Line is scheduled to open in 2030."Singapore's Cross Island Line, a new 58km MRT line squeezed through one of the world's most densely populated islands, is targeting its first 12-station phase for 2030.0.64Base Electron's 1.2 GW Gas Plant for Applied Digital Goes Online
DELAYED2 years late76% CONFIDENCEin 4.3 yearsA target year, per bismarcktribune.com[1]: Base Electron's Tyler Hammond said that if the permit is approved "construction would commence in the second quarter of 2027 and the plant would be operational in 2030"; a year alone is dated to its last day.The 1,200 MW gas-fired plant Babcock & Wilcox is building for Base Electron near Center, North Dakota, to power Applied Digital's AI data centres is now due to run in 2030, after B&W first promised power by the end of 2028.0.64In December last year TSMC started to work on its 5nm process
CONFIRMED79% CONFIDENCE6.5 years agoHappened as dated, per hexus.net[1]: "…progress of these plans, with a target launch date set for H1 2020. Now a recent report suggests th…"In December last year TSMC started to work on its 5nm process. In the following January we heard from the firm's CEO about the progress of these plans, with a target launch date set for H1 2020. Now a recent report suggests that TSMC is confident of reaching its previously publicised goals, as it has started to allocate between 300 and 400 R&D staff to work on developing its 3nm process.0.63Construction Starts on the New Hillingdon Hospital
Hillingdon Hospital, Pield Heath Road, Uxbridge, London, EnglandThe Hillingdon Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust
ESTIMATED50% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsThe council's update says Hillingdon[1] proceeds as a wave 1 scheme "with construction expected to start in 2027/28" and lists "Construction 2028 - 2032", a year rather than a date.The only London scheme in wave one of the New Hospital Programme puts a net-zero replacement hospital on the western edge of the Uxbridge site, with 327 homes alongside it, inside a capital envelope of GBP 1-1.5bn. Laing O'Rourke signed the delivery contract on 30 July 2026; the trust's milestones run construction to 2032 with the hospital available to patients in early 2033.0.63Thacker Pass Finishes Its First Phase
ESTIMATED70% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsLithium Americas targets mechanical completion of Phase 1 in "late 2027", with the production ramp following in 2028. Only a half-year is given, so the pin takes the last day of 2027.[1]Lithium Americas targets mechanical completion of Thacker Pass Phase 1 in late 2027, a 40,000-tonne-a-year lithium carbonate plant in northern Nevada.0.63TSMC's 1.6nm-Class A16 Process Enters Volume Production
DELAYED12 months late67% CONFIDENCEin 1.3 yearsTSMC's[2][5] Kevin Zhang told Tom's Hardware "A16 will be ready for production in 2026... we expect volume production to begin in 2027", and TSMC's roadmap slide lists A16 under 2027; with no quarter named, the year's last day stands in.A16, TSMC's first node with Super Power Rail backside power delivery, is expected to reach volume production in 2027, a year after the 2026 production TSMC planned when it unveiled the node.0.63CPK Poland's Central Transport Hub Targets 2032 Opening
Centralny Port Komunikacyjny, Baranow, Grodzisk County, Masovian Voivodeship, PolandCentralny Port Komunikacyjny
SCHEDULED76% CONFIDENCEin 6.3 yearsGiven as scheduled, per the source[1]: "Port Polska's new airport is set to open in 2032".Poland's planned Centralny Port Komunikacyjny (CPK) airport and high-speed rail hub, 25 miles west of Warsaw, is now targeted to open in 2032.$34B0.62
