References 483% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 83%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]75%elections.ny.gov/ballot-certifications-electionselections.ny.gov· Posted Sep 24, 2026· Starts Nov 3, 2026 ✓· 25% of score
The State Board of Elections lists the "Certification for the November 3, 2026 General Election" with the "List of candidates who have qualified"; Ballotpedia[2] gives "General: November 3, 2026" with polls 6 a.m. to 9 p.m.
- [2]88%New York gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2026 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org· Added Sep 24, 2026· 25% of score
Candidate list, the cancelled 23 June primaries, poll hours and the 2022 result.[1]
- [3]85%Hochul leads Blakeman by just 9 points in new Siena poll - City & State New Yorkcityandstateny.com· Published Sep 23, 2026· 25% of score
Siena's 11-17 September likely-voter poll, 50%-41%, and its breakdown by region and party.[1]
- [4]85%Quinnipiac poll puts Hochul up 19 points over Blakeman - City & State New Yorkcityandstateny.com· Published Sep 23, 2026· 25% of score
Quinnipiac's 17-20 September likely-voter poll, 58%-39%.[1]
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