The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
The State Board of Elections lists the "Certification for the November 3, 2026 General Election" with the "List of candidates who have qualified"; Ballotpedia[2] gives "General: November 3, 2026" with polls 6 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Candidate list, the cancelled 23 June primaries, poll hours and the 2022 result.[1]
Siena's 11-17 September likely-voter poll, 50%-41%, and its breakdown by region and party.[1]
Quinnipiac's 17-20 September likely-voter poll, 58%-39%.[1]
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most.
