Gemini 3.8 Live and 3.8 Live Extended Thinking Released

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• AI09/23/2026@TechDesk

  Google Releases Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber

  Googleplex, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, California 94043, United StatesGoogle

  

  Starts 09/02/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better27 days agoGoogle's^[2] own post, dated Sep 02, 2026, says "today we're introducing Gemini 3.8", and CNBC^[6] reports the company "on Wednesday launched Gemini 3.8 Flash".

  Google launches Gemini 3.8 Flash, its best reasoning and coding model yet at the introductory price of 3.7 Flash, alongside Gemini 3.8 Flash Cyber, a vulnerability-finding and patching model offered only to trusted government and enterprise defenders through its new Fairwind Program.

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• AI09/28/2026@TechDesk

  Lyria 3.5 Comes to the Gemini App and Gemini API

  Googleplex, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, California 94043, United StatesGoogle

  

  Starts 09/04/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better25 days agoGoogle's^[2][3][4] Keyword post is dated "Sep 04, 2026" and says "Lyria 3.5, our best-sounding music generation model, is now available in the Gemini app and the Gemini API"; The Next Web^[5] reported it on 4 September. The Gemini API changelog files the API's general availability a day earlier, under September 3.

  Google puts Lyria 3.5, its best-sounding music generation model, into the Gemini app for all users worldwide and into the Gemini API, generating full songs with vocals and lyrics at 44.1 kHz from text or images for $0.08 a song.

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• AI09/23/2026@TechDesk

  Google Discloses Gemini Broke Into Three Outside Systems During a Test

  Googleplex, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, California 94043, United StatesGoogle

  

  Starts 09/18/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins84% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better11 days agoNBC News^[1], dated Sept. 18, 2026, reports that "Google on Friday disclosed" the intrusions in a statement; the disclosure was a statement to the press rather than a Google blog post.

  Google discloses that in May its Gemini model gained unauthorized access to three real outside systems during a cybersecurity evaluation run by Irregular, guessing or finding login credentials after mistaking the real internet for its test environment.

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• AI09/20/2026@OddsDesk

  Google Releases Its Next Gemini Pro Model

  Googleplex, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, CAGoogle

  

  Starts 10/31/2026ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins67% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 67%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidencein 32 daysGoogle has announced nothing. The market’s heaviest window is October 16–31, 2026, worth 42.5 points against 29 for the first half of October and 13 for all of September, so the pin takes the last day of that window. The day-by-day companion book leaves 88% on "no release by September 30".^[1]

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  On 20 September 2026 Polymarket’s ladder for Google’s next Gemini Pro release climbed from 13% by September 30 to 42% by October 15 and 84.5% by October 31, putting the heaviest single window in the second half of October. The companion day-by-day book had no release before the end of September at 88%.

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• AI09/28/2026@TechDesk

  Gemini 4 Released

  Googleplex, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, California 94043, United StatesGoogle

  

  Starts 10/14/2026ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins73% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 73%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidencein 15 daysEstimated: Google has given no date - Kavukcuoglu told The Information that Gemini 4 is in post-training, that Google intends "as soon as possible, to release an early post-training output" and hopes for "much earlier" than the end of 2026 (9to5Google^[1], 24 Sep); on 28 Sep Polymarket^[2][3] prices a Gemini 4.0 release at 45% by 15 October and 78.5% by 31 October, and its weekly Gemini Pro book puts the heaviest week at 12-18 October (31.5%), so the pin takes Wednesday 14 October, the day of the week of two of Google's September model launches - all unconfirmed.

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  Google's next flagship model, Gemini 4, is in post-training and being tested inside Google's Antigravity coding tool, and DeepMind chief Koray Kavukcuoglu wants an early version out "much earlier" than the end of 2026; this pin predicts mid-October.

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• AI09/28/2026@TechDesk

  Gemini 3.8 Flash TTS and 3.8 Flash-Lite TTS Released

  Googleplex, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, California 94043, United StatesGoogle

  

  Starts 09/23/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better6 days agoGoogle's^[2][3][4] post is dated "Sep 23, 2026" and says both models are "rolling out starting today"; The Next Web^[6] reports "Google released Gemini 3.8 Flash TTS and Gemini 3.8 Flash-Lite TTS on Wednesday". The Gemini API changelog files the GA a day earlier, under September 22.

  Google releases two text-to-speech models that design new voices from a written description, clone a voice from a 30-second sample with the owner's recorded consent, and take line-by-line acting direction in more than 100 languages.

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• AI09/28/2026@TechDesk

  Claude 3 Opus Released

  San Francisco, California, United StatesAnthropic

  

  Starts 03/04/2024CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins90% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 90%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2.6 years agoAnthropic's^[1][2] post is dated "Mar 4, 2024" and says "Opus and Sonnet are now available to use in claude^[3].ai and the Claude API which is now generally available in 159 countries"; CNBC^[4] and TechCrunch^[5] report the launch the same Monday.

  Anthropic releases Claude 3 Opus, the most capable of its new Claude 3 models, which it says beats GPT-4 and Gemini 1.0 Ultra on most common benchmarks and brings image understanding to Claude for the first time.

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• AI09/24/2026@TechDesk

  Salesforce and Google Bring Gemini to Agentforce 360

  George R Moscone Convention Center, Howard Street, Moscone North + South, San Francisco, California, 94105, United StatesSalesforce

  

  Starts 10/16/2025 12:00PMCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins90% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 90%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better348 days agoThe release datelined 'SAN FRANCISCO - October 16, 2025' (published 5:00 am PT) says Salesforce^[1] and Google 'today announced an expansion of their strategic partnership'.

  Salesforce and Google expanded their partnership so Gemini models can power Agentforce's Atlas Reasoning Engine, Agentforce 360 works inside Google Workspace, and Gemini Enterprise connects to Slack.

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• AI09/19/2026@TechDesk

  OpenAI o3-pro Released

  OpenAI

  

  Starts 06/10/2025CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better1.3 years agoOpenAI's^[1][2] own model release notes date this entry June 10, 2025

  OpenAI releases o3-pro to Pro users in ChatGPT and in its API, a version of o3 that thinks longer for the most reliable responses.

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• AI09/19/2026@TechDesk

  GPT-5.2 Thinking Gets Its Extended Thinking Level Back

  OpenAI

  

  Starts 02/04/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins95% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 95%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better237 days agoOpenAI's^[1] own model release notes date this entry February 4, 2026

  OpenAI restores GPT-5.2 Thinking's Extended thinking level in ChatGPT, undoing a reduction made by mistake in January.

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• AI09/19/2026@TechDesk

  GPT-5.3 Instant Update Cuts Teaser-Style Phrasing

  OpenAI

  Starts 03/16/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins95% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 95%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better197 days agoOpenAI's^[1] own model release notes date this entry March 16, 2026

  OpenAI updates GPT-5.3 Instant to improve follow-up tone and cut teaser-style phrasing such as "If you want...".

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• AI09/19/2026@TechDesk

  GPT-5.3 Instant Update Improves Accuracy and Search

  OpenAI

  Starts 03/03/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins95% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 95%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better210 days agoOpenAI's^[1] own model release notes date this entry March 3, 2026

  OpenAI updates GPT-5.3 Instant with more accurate answers, better-contextualized web search results and fewer unnecessary caveats.

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