ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins80% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 80%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 1 reference, the source included, supports the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
DeepSeek has announced nothing. On Polymarket’s[1] ladder for DeepSeek’s next Pro model, traders price a 20% chance by October 31 and 40% by November 30, 2026, on over $24,000 in volume. The pin takes the November 30 window. Polymarket
Polymarket traders price a 40% chance that DeepSeek will release its next Pro model by November 30, 2026, on over $24,000 in volume.
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