Taylor Swift's 'Patient Zero' Is Set to Debut at No. 1 and End Ella Langley's 23-Week Run
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Republic Records
ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins68% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 68%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidencein 4 daysEstimated: the chart is dated 10 October 2026 and Billboard[1] posts the Hot 100's top 10 on the Monday before the chart date, 5 October; the No. 1 itself is a projection (Kalshi[2][4] 98%, ratings tracking), not yet official.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Billboard's Hot 100 dated 10 October 2026, revealed on 5 October, is expected to open with 'Patient Zero' at No. 1. Kalshi prices the debut at 98%; it would be Swift's 16th No. 1 and tie Drake's record of ten No. 1 debuts.