Prediction Market: upcoming dates

Upcoming dates: 64 · All pins: 242

Next: Quebec Votes, With the Parti Québécois Favoured to Return on a Sovereignty Promise, October 5, 2026.

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Elections10/01/2026@PoliticsDesk
Quebec Votes, With the Parti Québécois Favoured to Return on a Sovereignty Promise
Hôtel du Parlement, 1045, Rue des Parlementaires, Colline Parlementaire, Vieux-Québec, Vieux-Québec–Cap-Blanc–Colline-Parlementaire, La Cité-Limoilou, Quebec, Urban agglomeration of Québec, Capitale-Nationale, Quebec, G1R 5E6, CanadaÉlections Québec
Starts 10/05/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 1 dayQuebec's fixed-date election law sets the general election for the first Monday of October in the fourth year, 5 October 2026; the election article and the campaign coverage give the same day.^[1]
Polymarket
Quebecers elect all 127 members of the National Assembly on 5 October 2026. Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's Parti Québécois leads every late poll at about 30% and has promised a referendum on sovereignty.

Related tags

Prediction Market: upcoming dates · Chronopin

Recent

Elections10/01/2026@PoliticsDesk
Lima Elects a Mayor, With López Aliaga Leading From the Council List
Palacio Municipal de Lima, 300, Union Street, Urbanización Cercado de Lima, Lima, Province of Lima, Lima Metropolitan Area, Lima, 15001, PeruMunicipality of Lima
Starts 10/04/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterTodayPeru's 2026 regional and municipal elections are set for 4 October 2026, the date the Lima election article and the campaign coverage give.^[1]
Polymarket
Lima votes for its metropolitan mayor and 39 councillors on 4 October 2026, in Peru's regional and municipal elections. Rafael López Aliaga, Popular Renewal's first council candidate and de facto standard-bearer, leads the late polls at about 30%.
Elections10/01/2026@PoliticsDesk
Bosnia and Herzegovina Elects a Three-Member Presidency, the First Vote Since Dodik's Removal
Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina, 16, Maršala Tita, Džidžikovac, Sarajevo, Mjesna zajednica Trg oslobođenja-Centar, Centar Municipality, City of Sarajevo, Sarajevo Canton, Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, 71000, Bosnia and HerzegovinaCentral Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina
Starts 10/04/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterTodayBosnia's Central Election Commission called the general election for 4 October 2026; the election article and the campaign coverage give the same day.^[1]
Polymarket
Bosnians elect the three-member Presidency, the state parliament, both entities' governments and the cantonal assemblies on 4 October 2026, the first general election since Milorad Dodik was removed from office in 2025.
Elections09/20/2026@OddsDesk
Brazil Votes in the First Round of Its Presidential Election
Palacio do Planalto, Praca dos Tres Poderes, Brasilia, Brazil
Starts 10/04/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins73% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 73%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidenceTodayPolymarket's^[1][2] rules open with "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026", which is the first Sunday of October, the date Brazilian law sets.
Polymarket
Polymarket
Brazil's presidential election is scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket's winner market, which includes any second round, had Flavio Bolsonaro at 58% and Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva at 42%; a runoff, if no one clears 50%, falls on October 25.
Elections10/01/2026@PoliticsDesk
Latvia Elects Its 15th Saeima, With Kulbergs' United List Far Ahead
Saeima, 11, Jēkaba street, Old Riga, Latgales apkaime, Riga, LV-1050, LatviaCentral Election Commission of Latvia
Starts 10/03/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins73% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 73%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence1 day agoThe Saeima election falls on the first Saturday of October, 3 October 2026, as the election article and the diaspora voting guides state.^[1]
Polymarket
Latvians elect the 100-seat Saeima on 3 October 2026. Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs' United List leads the September polls at 22.7-23.8%, about ten points clear of the next party.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
The September Jobs Report Lands, With Markets Betting Unemployment Holds Near 4.1%
Frances Perkins Department of Labor Building, 200, Constitution Avenue Northwest, Ward 6, Washington, District of Columbia, 20001, United StatesBureau of Labor Statistics
Starts 10/02/2026 12:30PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2 days agoBLS's^[1][4] October 2026 release schedule lists the Employment Situation for September 2026 on Friday 2 October at 8:30 a.m. ET, and the August release names the same time for the next one.
Kalshi
Kalshi
The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes September 2026's Employment Situation at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on 2 October. August added 162,000 jobs with unemployment at 4.1%; Kalshi prices 70% on another gain above 60,000.
AI10/02/2026@PoliticsDesk
Trump Is Expected to Name Jay Clayton as the White House AI Czar
White House, 1600, Pennsylvania Avenue Northwest, Ward 2, Washington, District of Columbia, 20500, United StatesThe White House
Starts 10/02/2026ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins74% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 74%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence2 days agoEstimated: CNN's^[1] two sources say the announcement 'could come as early as Friday' 2 October 2026 and Trump told reporters on 29 September he would name someone 'within days'; no date has been announced by the White House. Update 2 October: a White House official says only the President will announce a pick and calls the reporting speculation; Polymarket^[3] gives 28.5% that a czar is named by 2 Oct and 62.5% by 4 Oct, so the date may slip a few days.
Polymarket
Two sources told CNN on 2 October 2026 that Trump will pick Jay Clayton, the director of national intelligence, as AI czar as early as that Friday, filling a post vacant since David Sacks left in March and giving the AI Force Trump announced on 19 September its first leader.
Movie10/01/2026@FilmDesk
Tom Cruise and Iñárritu's 'Digger' Opens in US Theaters, Tracking for a Soft Weekend
Warner Bros. Studios, 4000, Warner Boulevard, Burbank, Los Angeles County, California, 91522, United StatesWarner Bros. Pictures
10/02/2026 - 10/04/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2 days agoWarner Bros. releases Digger in US and UK theaters on 2 October 2026 (internationally from 30 September); the pin covers the 2-4 October opening weekend.^[1]
Polymarket
Kalshi
Warner Bros. opens Alejandro G. Iñárritu's dark comedy Digger, starring Tom Cruise, in US and UK theaters on 2 October 2026. Tracking points to $12-15 million from 3,300 screens against a $125-180 million budget.
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
US Fiscal Year 2027 Begins on a Stopgap
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of the Treasury
10/01/2026 - 09/30/2027SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins84% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better3 days agoThe US federal fiscal year runs 1 October to 30 September, so fiscal year 2027 begins on 1 October 2026 and ends on 30 September 2027.^[1]
Polymarket
Fiscal year 2027 starts on 1 October 2026 with none of the twelve appropriations bills through both chambers, so the government runs on the continuing resolution signed in September rather than on a budget.
Crime10/01/2026@LawDesk
A Pilot Stabs His Co-Pilot on Flydubai 1073 to Tel Aviv, and Passengers Retake the Cockpit
Tabuk Airport, طريق المدينه المنوره, Prince Sultan Bin Abdulaziz International Airport, Tabuk, Tabuk Governorate, Tabuk Province, 47911, Saudi ArabiaFlydubai
Starts 09/30/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins84% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better4 days agoNBC News^[1], ABC News^[3] and CNN^[4] reported the attack the same day, 30 September 2026, on a flight that left Dubai at 7:05 a.m. local time.
Polymarket
On 30 September 2026 an Omani pilot stabbed Captain Smit Machchhar on Flydubai flight 1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv, sending the Boeing 737 into a dive; passengers subdued him and the plane landed in Tabuk, Saudi Arabia, with all 174 aboard.
AI09/28/2026@TechDesk
Google Announces Gemini 4 Argon
Googleplex, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, California 94043, United StatesGoogle
Starts 09/30/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better4 days agoGoogle announced Gemini 4 Argon on 30 September 2026 (9to5Google^[1], 1:00 PM PT); it is with trusted testers and cyber defenders now and 'rolling out soon' to AI Ultra and paid API customers, so the wider release date is unstated. This replaces the earlier 14 October estimate.
Polymarket
Polymarket
Google announced Gemini 4 Argon on 30 September as its new frontier model, rolling out soon to Google AI Ultra subscribers and paid API customers at an introductory $2/$10 per million tokens, with no firm release date.
Space09/20/2026@TechDesk
Starship Reaches Orbit for the First Time on Flight 14
Orbital Launch Pad 2, SpaceX Starbase, TX, USASpaceX
Starts 09/28/2026 12:48PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins86% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 86%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 7 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better6 days agoCNBC^[2] and NPR^[3], 28 Sep 2026: liftoff at 7:48 a.m. CT from Starbase ("At 7:48 a.m. CT, Starship's Super Heavy booster ignited its 33 rocket engines"); Launch Library 2 records T-0 as 12:48:59 UTC, accurate to the second.
Kalshi
Polymarket
SpaceX's 14th Starship test flight lifted off from Starbase, Texas at 7:48 a.m. CT on 28 September 2026 and became the first Starship to reach orbit, after 13 earlier flights that were all suborbital. One of the ship's six engines shut down during ascent; Starship still reached orbit and released 26 Starlink V3 satellites, the first of the new generation and its first operational payload. The flight was cut from a planned ten hours to about three: the ship deorbited and splashed down in the Pacific north of Hawaii, and the Super Heavy booster splashed down in the Gulf off Starbase instead of a tower catch.
Music09/27/2026@MusicDesk
Taylor Swift Wins Video of the Year and Madonna Artist of the Year at the 2026 VMAs
Peacock Theater, 777 Chick Hearn Court, South Park, Downtown, Los Angeles, Los Angeles County, California, 90015, United StatesMTV
Starts 09/27/2026 11:30PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 10 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better7 days agoThe Hollywood Reporter^[7][8], 28 September 2026: the VMAs 'began live right at 4:30 p.m. PT within Los Angeles' Peacock Theater', while CBS joined about 21 minutes late behind the Ravens-Cowboys game; Yahoo's^[1] live blog has Video of the Year, the night's last award, airing at 10:09 p.m. ET on that delayed feed.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Taylor Swift won Video of the Year for 'The Fate of Ophelia' and the first Artist Director Honors at the 2026 VMAs in Los Angeles, where Madonna took Artist of the Year, Best Collaboration with Sabrina Carpenter and Best Dance, Sienna Spiro Best New Artist and Nirvana the Video Vanguard Award.
Software09/19/2026@OddsDesk
Anthropic Expected to Release Its Next Claude Opus Model
Anthropic, 500 Howard Street, San Francisco, CAAnthropic
Starts 09/21/2026ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins65% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence13 days agoNo official date: September 21 is the day Polymarket's^[1][2] per-day market prices highest, at 31% on its outcome row (the page header reads 30.5%), with September 22 at 25% and September 24 at 15%, and “No release by September 30” at 22%. The figures are the chance on each row, not the Buy Yes or Buy No prices in cents beside them.
Polymarket
Polymarket
Prediction-market traders expected Anthropic to ship the successor to Claude Opus 5 (released July 24, 2026) within days. On 19 September 2026 Polymarket's per-day market made September 21 the single likeliest day at 31%, ahead of September 22 at 25%, and its deadline market gave a release by September 30 an 83% chance and by October 31 98%. Anthropic had not announced the model; the “Opus 5.1” name comes from leaked early-access identifiers and early tester reports.
Elections09/20/2026@OddsDesk
Russians Vote for a New State Duma
State Duma, Okhotny Ryad 1, Moscow, Russia
09/18/2026 - 09/20/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins73% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 73%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence16 days agoRussian law holds federal elections on a single voting day, the third Sunday of September, which is September 20 in 2026; Monocle reports voting runs across the three days from September 18, and Polymarket’s^[1][2] market on the winner ends September 20.
Polymarket
Polymarket
Russia's State Duma election runs over three days, September 18-20, 2026, its single voting day being the third Sunday of September. On 20 September 2026 Polymarket gave United Russia a 99.8% chance of winning the most seats, and its companion market had the party landing on 340-354 seats (43%) or 325-339 (34%).
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Raises Rates a Quarter Point to 3.75%-4.00% at the September 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 09/16/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better18 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 16 September 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 15-16 September meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC voted 12-0 on 16 September 2026 to raise the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent, and its projections now point to a higher year-end rate.
Energy10/03/2026@EnergyDesk
Drones Hit Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline, Shutting the Main Hormuz Bypass
Medina, Al Madinah Al Munawwarah, Medina Province, 41419, Saudi ArabiaSaudi Aramco
Starts 09/10/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins79% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 79%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better24 days agoSaudi Arabia's energy ministry said "multiple attacks" hit the pipeline on the morning of 10 September 2026 and announced the shutdown on 11 September, per Argus and The National.^[1]
Polymarket
Multiple drone attacks on the morning of 10 September 2026 damaged three pumping stations on Saudi Arabia's 1,200 km East-West oil pipeline and forced its shutdown; Riyadh blamed drones launched from Iraq, a claim an Iraqi umbrella group denied.
Economy10/02/2026@EconDesk
August 2026 Jobs Report: Payrolls Rebound by 162,000, Topping Every Estimate, With Unemployment at 4.1%
Frances Perkins Department of Labor Building, 200, Constitution Avenue Northwest, Ward 6, Washington, District of Columbia, 20001, United StatesBureau of Labor Statistics
Starts 09/04/2026 12:30PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better30 days agoBLS's^[1][2] archived release is dated 4 September 2026 and marked for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, matching its Employment Situation calendar.
Kalshi
Kalshi
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on 4 September 2026 that employers added 162,000 jobs in August, with unemployment unchanged at 4.1% and June and July revised up by 55,000.
Energy10/03/2026@EnergyDesk
Two Saudi-Loaded Supertankers Are Struck Leaving Hormuz as US-Iran Strikes Resume
Strait of Hormuz, OmanBahri
Starts 08/31/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better34 days agoWorld Oil^[1] (1 September 2026) places the strikes late on Monday 31 August, which ShipUniverse^[4] times at about 19:52 UTC; some outlets date the report a day later.
Polymarket
Late on 31 August 2026 the very large crude carriers Sidr and Senegal Prosperity, each carrying about two million barrels of Saudi crude, were hit by unidentified projectiles minutes apart as they left the Strait of Hormuz; no one claimed the attacks and crews were safe.
Economy10/02/2026@EconDesk
July 2026 Jobs Report: Payrolls Unexpectedly Fall 23,000 as Local Government Education Sheds 50,000
Frances Perkins Department of Labor Building, 200, Constitution Avenue Northwest, Ward 6, Washington, District of Columbia, 20001, United StatesBureau of Labor Statistics
Starts 08/07/2026 12:30PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better58 days agoBLS's^[1][2] archived release is dated 7 August 2026 and marked for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, matching its Employment Situation calendar.
Kalshi
Kalshi
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on 7 August 2026 that payrolls fell by 23,000 in July, with unemployment at 4.1% and May and June revised down by 103,000.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at the July 2026 FOMC Meeting With Three Dissents in Favour of a Hike
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 07/29/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better67 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 29 July 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 28-29 July meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC kept the target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 29 July 2026 by a 9-3 vote, with Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan preferring a quarter-point increase.
Sports10/04/2026@SportDesk
England Beat France 6-4 in the Bronze Final at Hard Rock Stadium
Hard Rock Stadium, 347, Don Shula Drive, Lake Lucerne, Miami Gardens, Miami-Dade County, Florida, 33056, United StatesFIFA
Starts 07/18/2026 9:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins83% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 83%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better78 days agoFIFA's^[1] match centre gives Match 103, France v England, kick-off 17:00 local on 18 July 2026 at Hard Rock Stadium, final score 4-6.
Kalshi
Bukayo Saka scored a hat-trick and England led 4-0 at half-time before holding off France in a ten-goal bronze-final thriller, with Mbappe scoring twice.
Sports10/04/2026@SportDesk
Argentina Beat England 2-1 With a Late Comeback in the Semi-Final in Atlanta
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, 1414, Andrew Young International Boulevard, Atlanta, Fulton County, Georgia, 30313, United StatesFIFA
Starts 07/15/2026 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins83% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 83%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better81 days agoFIFA's^[1] match centre gives Match 102, England v Argentina, kick-off 15:00 local on 15 July 2026 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, final score 1-2.
Kalshi
Anthony Gordon put England ahead, but Enzo Fernandez and a stoppage-time Lautaro Martinez header, both set up by Lionel Messi, sent Argentina into the final.
Sports10/04/2026@SportDesk
Spain Beat France 2-0 in the World Cup Semi-Final at AT&T Stadium
AT&T Stadium, 1, AT&T Way, Arlington, Tarrant County, Texas, 76011, United StatesFIFA
Starts 07/14/2026 7:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins84% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better82 days agoFIFA's^[1] match centre gives Match 101, France v Spain, kick-off 14:00 local on 14 July 2026 at AT&T Stadium, final score 0-2.
Kalshi
Mikel Oyarzabal converted a penalty and Pedro Porro added a second as Spain beat France to reach the World Cup final.
Sports10/04/2026@SportDesk
Argentina Beat Switzerland 3-1 After Extra Time in the Quarter-Final at Arrowhead
Arrowhead Stadium, 1, Arrowhead Drive, Kansas City, Jackson County, Missouri, 64129, United StatesFIFA
Starts 07/12/2026 1:00AM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better84 days agoFIFA's^[1] match centre gives Match 100, Argentina v Switzerland, kick-off 20:00 local on 11 July 2026 at Arrowhead Stadium, final score 3-1.
Kalshi
Argentina beat ten-man Switzerland in extra time with goals from Julian Alvarez and Lautaro Martinez, after a VAR-reviewed second yellow card to Breel Embolo.

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