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- Nov 16, 202675% CONFIDENCEfrom the source
The 2027 Grammy Nominations Set the Record of the Year Field
- Nominations for the 2027 Grammys, including Record of the Year, are announced on Monday, 16 November 2026[3]
- On 29 September 2026 Kalshi's "Grammy nominees: Record of the Year" market priced "Man I Need" (Olivia Dean) at 88 cents (bid 85c, ask 91c) and "I Just Might" (Bruno Mars) at 89 cents (bid 85c, ask 89c)[1]
- "Choosin' Texas" (Ella Langley) was at 76 cents (bid 77c, ask 83c) and "WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!" (RAYE) at 72 cents (bid 68c, ask 77c)[1]
- "The Fate of Ophelia" (Taylor Swift) last traded at 82 cents but its book was wide, 42c bid and 81c ask; "Aperture" (Harry Styles) was at 35 cents and "So Easy (To Fall in Love)" (Olivia Dean) at 17 cents[1]
- Only seven records are listed and eight will be nominated, so the prices are separate yes/no contracts, not shares; the market had traded about $10,100, which is thin[1]
- Billboard's own predictions name Dean's "Man I Need" and "So Easy", Rodrigo's "drop dead" or "the cure", and Swift's "The Fate of Ophelia" as candidates[2]
References 380% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 80%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]75%kalshi.com/markets/kxgrammynomroty/grammy-nominees-for-record-of-the-year/kxgrammynomroty-69kalshi.com· Posted Sep 29, 2026· Starts Nov 16, 2026 ✓· 39% of score
The Recording Academy and ABC say nominations for the 2027 Grammys will be announced Monday, November 16, 2026; Kalshi's market settles on who is nominated for Record of the Year.
- [2]80%Grammys 2027 Predictions: Who Could Score a Nomination in the Biggest Categories?billboard.com· Added Sep 29, 2026· 39% of score
Billboard's Record of the Year predictions, including Olivia Dean, Olivia Rodrigo, Taylor Swift, RAYE and Bruno Mars records; eight nominees, announced Nov. 16.
- [3]90%THE GRAMMY AWARDS SET TO TAKE PLACE SUNDAY, FEB. 7, 2027 ...grammy.com· Published May 12, 2026· 23% of score
The Recording Academy's statement that nominations will be announced Monday, Nov. 16, 2026.[1]
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