The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
Spotify[2] has not announced when 2026's Wrapped drops. The 2025 report - the source Polymarket names - was published on 3 December 2025, and recent editions have all landed in the first days of December, so early December 2026 is an estimate.
Polymarket's[1] rules name this Spotify newsroom post as the template for resolution; its 3 December 2025 publication date is what dates this pin's estimate.
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most.