References 365% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 65%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence
The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
- [1]50%polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026polymarket.com· Posted Nov 2, 2026· Starts Dec 9, 2026 ✓· 33% of score
Estimated: the count is final only after the last 2026 FOMC decision, which the timeline dates to December 9, 2026 at 19:00 UTC; the market itself stays open to December 31 for emergency actions.
- [2]90%Photo: Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, by AgnosticPreachersKid (CC BY-SA 3.0)en.wikipedia.org· Added Nov 2, 2026· 33% of score
Image credit: AgnosticPreachersKid, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 3.0.[1]
- [3]95%Polymarket API: How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?gamma-api.polymarket.com· Published Nov 2, 2026· 33% of score
Opened 2 November 2026: per-count prices, US$55,291,001 total volume and the resolution rules.[1]
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