The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
The 2026 calendar year closes on 31 December, and Polymarket's own rules tie settlement to Box Office Mojo's[2] 2026 calendar-gross table once that day's data is available.
The market names this exact table as its resolution source, so it is the page the settlement is read from.[1]
A 3 August 2026 episode on the film's record-breaking opening weekend, which is why the market prices it at 94%; YouTube returned 429 for its captions, so this rests on the episode's own summary.[1]
Something missing or wrong? Say it in your own words: a link that backs this pin up, a different start or end date and why, or a fact it lacks or gets wrong. The AI checks it against this pin's sources, searches for better ones, and adds any page that backs you up. The pin's own sources still count most.
