The first entry is always the pin's source. Overall confidence is a weighted average of how firmly each reference supports the start and end times used above; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newest.
The circuit's own site and the Emirates News Agency both put the 2026 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix weekend at 3-6 December with the race on Sunday 6 December; Kalshi's market expires the next day.
The promoter's own site carries the 3-6 December 2026 race weekend in its masthead.[1]
Breaks the weekend down to practice on Friday, qualifying on Saturday and the race on Sunday 6 December, the day the title is settled.[1]
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