Skip to content

Search

Economy: upcoming dates · Chronopin

Chronopin
/
Tags
/
Economy

Economy: upcoming dates

Upcoming dates: 29 · All pins: 179

Next: Poland's Rate Council Decides on the 3.75% Reference Rate, October 7, 2026.

All Economy pins in search

Upcoming

Economy10/03/2026@EconDesk
Poland's Rate Council Decides on the 3.75% Reference Rate
National Bank of Poland
Starts 10/07/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins70% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 70%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidencein 3 daysPAP^[1] on the NBP's 2026 schedule of Monetary Policy Council meetings; Bankier^[2] reports the October meeting on 6-7 October and Glapiński's press conference on Thursday 8 October at 15:00 Warsaw time. The hour of the statement is not stated.
Kalshi
The National Bank of Poland's Monetary Policy Council meets on 6-7 October 2026 and announces its rate decision on the 7th, with the reference rate at 3.75% after a cut in March and September inflation at 4.0%. Governor Glapiński's press conference follows on 8 October.

Related tags

Prediction Market242
Kalshi216
Federal Reserve74
Policy238
Interest Rates66
FOMC65
Monetary Policy64
Polymarket101
Tariffs56
Inflation

Economy10/02/2026@EconDesk

The IMF and World Bank Hold Their 2026 Annual Meetings in Bangkok

Queen Sirikit National Convention Center, 60, Ratchadaphisek Road, ชุมชนเจริญสุข, Khlong Toei Subdistrict, Khlong Toei District, Bangkok, 10110, Thailand

International Monetary Fund

The IMF and World Bank Hold Their 2026 Annual Meetings in Bangkok

The IMF and World Bank Hold Their 2026 Annual Meetings in Bangkok

10/12/2026 - 10/18/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 8 daysThe IMF^[1] states the 2026 Annual Meetings 'will take place from Monday, October 12, through Sunday, October 18 in Bangkok, Thailand'; the World Bank's^[2] schedule page gives the same week.

The IMF and World Bank Group gather more than 15,000 finance ministers, central bankers and development leaders at Bangkok's Queen Sirikit National Convention Center from 12 to 18 October 2026, Thailand's first Annual Meetings since 1991.

0

Economy09/20/2026@OddsDesk

BLS Publishes the September 2026 CPI Report

Postal Square Building, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2 Massachusetts Ave NE, Washington, DC

Bureau of Labor Statistics

BLS Publishes the September 2026 CPI Report

BLS Publishes the September 2026 CPI Report

BLS Publishes the September 2026 CPI Report

Starts 10/14/2026 12:30PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins79% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 79%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 10 daysThe BLS^[2] publishes its CPI release schedule a year ahead and puts the September 2026 report on October 14, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET; Kalshi^[1][3] closes its September inflation market at 12:29 UTC that morning, minutes before the release.

Kalshi

Kalshi

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases September’s Consumer Price Index at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 14, the inflation print the Fed sees before its October 28 decision. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi put headline CPI above 3.4% at 93% and above 3.6% at 46%, so the market was centred on a 3.5–3.6% year-over-year rate.

0

Economy09/19/2026@EconDesk

Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting

Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DC

Federal Reserve

Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting

Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting

Fed Decides Whether to Hike Rates Again at October 2026 FOMC Meeting

Starts 10/28/2026 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 7 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 24 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2][5] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the October 27-28 meeting, and the policy statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi's^[1] market strikes on October 28, 2026 at 18:00 UTC.

Kalshi

The Federal Open Market Committee announces its October 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on October 28, six weeks after raising the federal funds target range a quarter point to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16, its first hike since 2023. On 19 September 2026 Kalshi traders were split between holding the rate and a second 25bp hike, with cuts priced near zero.

1

Economy09/30/2026@EconDesk

BEA Releases the September 2026 PCE Price Index

U.S. Census Bureau, 4600, Silver Hill Road, Parkland Terrace, Suitland, Prince George's County, Maryland, 20746, United States

Bureau of Economic Analysis

BEA Releases the September 2026 PCE Price Index

Starts 10/29/2026 12:30PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 25 daysBEA's^[1][2][3] release schedule lists "Personal Income and Outlays, September 2026" on October 29 at 8:30 AM, and the August release states "Next release: October 29, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. EDT".

BEA publishes September's Personal Income and Outlays report at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 29, the Fed's main inflation gauge following August's 3.4% annual rise, with core PCE at 3.0%.

0

Elections09/24/2026@CityDesk

San Diego County Votes on Measure B Half-Cent Sales Tax

San Diego County Administration Building, Pacific Highway, Harborview, Downtown San Diego, San Diego, California, 92110, United StatesCounty of San Diego

San Diego County Votes on Measure B Half-Cent Sales Tax

San Diego County Votes on Measure B Half-Cent Sales Tax

San Diego County Votes on Measure B Half-Cent Sales Tax

Starts 11/03/2026 3:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins83% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 83%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 30 daysScheduled: the Registrar lists the measure for the November 3, 2026 General Election, whose page says "Election Day - Tuesday, November 3 ... open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m." (Pacific standard time).^[1]

A citizen initiative would lift the countywide sales tax from 7.75% to 8.25% for Tijuana River sewage fixes, wildfire and public safety, and health care, food aid and child care hit by federal cuts.

2

Policy10/01/2026@EconDesk

USTR's Pause on Port Fees for Chinese-Linked Ships Runs Out on 9 November

Office of the United States Trade Representative, 600, 17th Street Northwest, Ward 2, Washington, District of Columbia, 20006, United States

Office of the United States Trade Representative

USTR's Pause on Port Fees for Chinese-Linked Ships Runs Out on 9 November

USTR's Pause on Port Fees for Chinese-Linked Ships Runs Out on 9 November

USTR's Pause on Port Fees for Chinese-Linked Ships Runs Out on 9 November

Starts 11/10/2026 4:59AM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 37 daysTech Times^[1] (29 September 2026) states the suspension expires at 11:59 p.m. ET on 9 November 2026 unless USTR publishes an extension, and Supply Chain Dive^[2] reports trade groups urging an extension.

The one-year suspension of Section 301 fees on China-linked vessels expires at 11:59 p.m. ET on 9 November 2026 unless USTR publishes a new Federal Register notice, whatever the wider US-China truce says.

0

Finance09/30/2026@EconDesk

Singapore FinTech Festival 2026 Convenes Regulators and Banks at Singapore Expo

1, Expo Drive, Xilin, Changi Business Park, Tampines, East Region, Singapore, 486150, Singapore

Monetary Authority of Singapore

Singapore FinTech Festival 2026 Convenes Regulators and Banks at Singapore Expo

Singapore FinTech Festival 2026 Convenes Regulators and Banks at Singapore Expo

Singapore FinTech Festival 2026 Convenes Regulators and Banks at Singapore Expo

11/18/2026 - 11/20/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 45 daysThe festival's own site gives '18-20 November 2026' at Singapore Expo, confirmed by Switzerland Global Enterprise's and Fintech Singapore's listings.^[1]

Organised by MAS, GFTN and the Association of Banks in Singapore, the festival runs 18-20 November 2026 with six stages themed 'The Coming Rewiring of the Financial System' and 70,000+ expected participants.

0

Energy10/03/2026@EnergyDesk

OPEC and Non-OPEC Ministers Hold the 42nd Ministerial Meeting on 29 November

OPEC, Helferstorferstraße, Schottenviertel, Katastralgemeinde Innere Stadt, Innere Stadt, Vienna, 1010, Austria

OPEC and Non-OPEC Ministers Hold the 42nd Ministerial Meeting on 29 November

OPEC and Non-OPEC Ministers Hold the 42nd Ministerial Meeting on 29 November

OPEC and Non-OPEC Ministers Hold the 42nd Ministerial Meeting on 29 November

Starts 11/29/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 56 daysOPEC's^[1] press release of the 41st ministerial on 7 June 2026 states that the 42nd OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting is scheduled for 29 November 2026; Bernama's^[2] August preview repeats the date.

OPEC+ ministers meet on 29 November 2026 for the group's twice-yearly ministerial, its second since the UAE left, with production levels agreed through December 2026 and maximum-capacity assessments due to set 2027 baselines.

0

Economy09/20/2026@EconDesk

Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting

Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DC

Federal Reserve

Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting

Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting

Fed Sets Rates at the December 2026 FOMC Meeting

Starts 12/09/2026 7:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 66 daysThe Federal Reserve’s^[2] published 2026 FOMC calendar lists the December 8–9 meeting, and the statement is released at 2:00 p.m. ET on the second day; Kalshi’s^[1][4] market expires December 9, 2026 at 19:05 UTC and closes at 18:59 UTC, minutes before the announcement.

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Federal Open Market Committee announces its final 2026 rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on December 9, the last of the year’s eight scheduled meetings. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had a second consecutive quarter-point hike as the favourite at 67%, with a hold at 31% and cuts priced near zero; Polymarket agreed almost to the point.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

Government Funding Runs Out Again on December 11

United States Capitol, Washington, D.C., United States

United States Congress

Government Funding Runs Out Again on December 11

Government Funding Runs Out Again on December 11

Government Funding Runs Out Again on December 11

Starts 12/11/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins86% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 86%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 68 daysH.R. 6500 funds federal agencies through 11 December 2026, so the continuing resolution expires at the end of that day.^[1]

The stopgap signed in September expires on 11 December 2026, the deadline for Congress to enact the twelve fiscal 2027 appropriations bills or pass another continuing resolution before agencies shut down.

0

Labour09/21/2026@EconDesk

Germany's Minimum Wage Rises to €14.60

Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs, Berlin, Germany

Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs

Germany's Minimum Wage Rises to €14.60

Starts 01/01/2027SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins78% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 78%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 89 daysThe Minimum Wage Commission's proposal of 27 June 2025 set two steps: €13.90 an hour from 1 January 2026 and €14.60 from 1 January 2027. The 2026 step has already taken effect.^[1]

Germany's statutory minimum wage goes up to €14.60 an hour on 1 January 2027, the second step of the largest increase the Minimum Wage Commission has recommended.

0

Policy09/29/2026@EconDesk

US Tariffs on Canadian Cars, Auto Parts and Steel Rise to 50%

White House, 1600, Pennsylvania Avenue Northwest, Ward 2, Washington, District of Columbia, 20500, United States

Executive Office of the President of the United States

US Tariffs on Canadian Cars, Auto Parts and Steel Rise to 50%

US Tariffs on Canadian Cars, Auto Parts and Steel Rise to 50%

Starts 01/01/2027SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins84% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 89 daysTrump on Truth Social, 24 Aug 2026: "On January First, 2027, Tariffs on all Cars, Trucks, both large and small, Automotive Parts, and Steel, will be increased to 50%"; no proclamation had been published as of 29 Sept, so the date rests on the President's announcement.^[1]

President Trump has said US tariffs on cars, trucks, auto parts and steel from Canada will rise to 50% on 1 January 2027, doubling the 25% now charged on Canadian autos, after trade talks collapsed in August.

1

Economy09/20/2026@OddsDesk

December Jobs Report Sets the Year-End US Unemployment Rate

Postal Square Building, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2 Massachusetts Ave NE, Washington, DC

Bureau of Labor Statistics

December Jobs Report Sets the Year-End US Unemployment Rate

Starts 01/08/2027 1:30PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins81% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 81%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 96 daysThe BLS^[2] Employment Situation schedule puts the December 2026 report on January 8, 2027 at 8:30 a.m. ET, and Kalshi^[1] closes its year-end unemployment market at 13:29 UTC that morning.

Kalshi

The BLS Employment Situation report for December 2026, out at 8:30 a.m. ET on January 8, 2027, fixes the unemployment rate the year closes on. On 20 September 2026 Kalshi had U-3 above 4.0% at 81% but only 5% above 5.0%, so traders expected a labour market that has loosened without cracking.

0

Economy09/24/2026@EconDesk

The Extended US-China Busan Trade Truce Runs Out

The White House, Washington, DC, United States

The Extended US-China Busan Trade Truce Runs Out

The Extended US-China Busan Trade Truce Runs Out

Starts 01/10/2027SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins2 months late77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 98 daysTreasury Secretary Bessent, per NBC News^[1]: the Busan Agreement "that was scheduled to end on Nov. 10 — that is going to be extended until Jan. 10".

The October 2025 Busan truce (a 10-point cut to the US fentanyl tariff, general licences for Chinese rare-earth exports, US soybean purchases, paused port fees) now lapses on January 10, 2027. Scott Bessent announced the two-month extension from November 10 as Xi Jinping landed in Washington.

1

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the January 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the January 2027 Meeting

Starts 01/27/2027 7:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 115 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "January 26-27" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its January 26-27 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 61%, Hike 25bps 25%, Cut 25bps 8%.

1

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

India Presents the 2027-28 Union Budget

Parliament House, New Delhi, IndiaMinistry of Finance (India)

India Presents the 2027-28 Union Budget

Starts 02/01/2027ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins68% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 68%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidencein 120 daysFebruary 1 became the Union Budget's presentation date in 2017 and has held every year since, including the 2026-27 budget presented on Sunday 1 February 2026. The Lok Sabha Speaker confirms the date each year and has not yet done so for 2027-28, so the pin follows the convention rather than a confirmed announcement.^[1]

India's finance minister presents the Union Budget for 2027-28 in the Lok Sabha, by convention on 1 February at 11am.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The President's Budget Request Falls Due

United States Capitol, Washington, D.C., United States

Office of Management and Budget

The President's Budget Request Falls Due

Starts 02/01/2027SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins83% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 83%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 120 daysThe Budget Enforcement Act of 1990 requires the President to submit the budget no later than the first Monday in February, which in 2027 is 1 February.^[1]

The statutory deadline for the President to send the fiscal 2028 budget to Congress is the first Monday in February 2027 - a deadline no president has met in over a decade.

0

Policy09/25/2026@WomenDesk

CSW71 Meets at UN Headquarters on Women's Poverty and the 2030 Agenda

United Nations Secretariat Building, 405, East 42nd Street, Tudor City, Manhattan Community Board 6, Manhattan, New York County, New York, 10017, United States

CSW71 Meets at UN Headquarters on Women's Poverty and the 2030 Agenda

03/08/2027 - 03/19/2027SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 155 daysUN Women^[1]: "The seventy-first session of the Commission on the Status of Women will take place at the United Nations Headquarters in New York from 8 to 19 March 2027."

The 71st session of the UN Commission on the Status of Women runs from 8 to 19 March 2027 in New York, with the priority theme of speeding up gender equality under the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.

3

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the March 2027 Meeting

Starts 03/17/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 164 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "March 16-17" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its March 16-17 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 67%, Hike 25bps 27%, Cut 25bps 10%.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the April 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the April 2027 Meeting

Starts 04/28/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 206 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "April 27-28" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its April 27-28 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 63%, Cut 25bps 11%, Hike 25bps 8%.

1

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the June 2027 Meeting

Starts 06/09/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 248 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "June 8-9" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its June 8-9 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Cut >25bps 28%, Hike 25bps 20%.

0

Labour09/24/2026@EconDesk

LA Hotel and Airport Workers' Minimum Wage Rises to $25.50

Tom Bradley International Terminal, World Way, Westchester, Los Angeles, CA 90245

Los Angeles City Council

LA Hotel and Airport Workers' Minimum Wage Rises to $25.50

07/01/2027 - 06/30/2028SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins84% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 270 daysThe city's wage chart lists "July 1, 2027 - June 30, 2028 ... $25.50 per hour", and Ordinance 188944: "Beginning on July 1, 2027, the wage rate for a Hotel Worker shall be no less than $25.50 per hour."^[1]

Under the amended Olympic Wage ordinance, the minimum for Los Angeles hotel workers and LAX-area airport employees rises from $25.00 to $25.50 an hour on 1 July 2027, with the hotel health-benefit payment going from $4.25 to $6.00.

1

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the July 2027 Meeting

Starts 07/28/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 297 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "July 27-28" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its July 27-28 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 76%, Hike 25bps 17%, Hike >25bps 10%.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the September 2027 Meeting

Starts 09/15/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 346 daysThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "September 14-15" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its September 14-15 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 59%, Hike 25bps 20%, Cut 25bps 6%.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins

United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United States

United States Department of the Treasury

US Fiscal Year 2028 Begins

10/01/2027 - 09/30/2028SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins83% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 83%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 362 daysThe federal fiscal year is the 12-month period beginning on 1 October and ending on 30 September of the next calendar year, so fiscal 2028 runs 1 October 2027 to 30 September 2028.^[1]

The United States federal fiscal year 2028 starts on 1 October 2027 - the date by which Congress must have funded the government or shut it down.

1

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the October 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the October 2027 Meeting

Starts 10/27/2027 6:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 1.1 yearsThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "October 26-27" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its October 26-27 2027 meeting. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 54%, Hike 25bps 46%, Cut 25bps 7%.

0

Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk

The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting

Eccles Building, Washington, D.C., United StatesFederal Reserve System

The Fed Sets Rates at the December 2027 Meeting

Starts 12/08/2027 7:00PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterin 1.2 yearsThe Federal Reserve's^[2] published FOMC calendar lists the meeting as "December 7-8" 2027, and Kalshi's^[1] market for it strikes at the decision time on the second day. The Fed adds that "Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it".

Kalshi

The FOMC announces its rate decision on the second day of its December 7-8 2027 meeting. The meeting is one of the four in 2027 that comes with a Summary of Economic Projections - the "dot plot" - and a press conference. On 21 September 2026 Kalshi last traded Fed maintains rate 73%, Cut 25bps 13%, Hike 25bps 6%.

2

Economy09/20/2026@OddsDesk

Traders Weigh a US Recession Through 2027

National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA

Traders Weigh a US Recession Through 2027

Starts 12/31/2027ESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins74% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 74%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidencein 1.2 yearsThe market asks only whether the two negative quarters fall anywhere between Q4 2026 and Q4 2027, so there is no single day to hang it on; by the convention for a year-only date the pin takes the last day of 2027. Kalshi^[1][3] does not expire it until January 31, 2028, when the advance estimate for Q4 2027 is due. The 25% is the chance on Kalshi’s trade panel, which sits beside a 24¢ Yes price.

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kalshi’s recession market for 2027 prices the chance of two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth between Q4 2026 and Q4 2027, on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimates — despite the KXRECSSNBER ticker, no NBER call is involved. On 20 September 2026 it sat at 25%, its 2026 contract at 6%, and Polymarket’s cumulative "recession by end of 2027" book, which also counts an NBER announcement, was higher still at 34.5%.

0

Recent

Energy10/03/2026@EnergyDesk
OPEC+ Seven Meet on 4 October to Set November Oil Output
OPEC, Helferstorferstraße, Schottenviertel, Katastralgemeinde Innere Stadt, Innere Stadt, Vienna, 1010, AustriaOPEC
Starts 10/04/2026SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins75% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 75%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or betterTodayOPEC's^[3][5] 6 September press release states the seven countries "will continue to hold monthly meetings" and that the next is on 4 October 2026; the meeting time is not published, so the pin is all-day.
The seven remaining OPEC+ countries hold their next monthly meeting on 4 October 2026 to decide required production for November, with Brent above $100 and Hormuz still restricting Gulf exports.
Energy10/03/2026@EconDesk
G7 Starts Releasing 100 Million Barrels of Oil and Diesel Over Four Months
G7
Starts 10/02/2026 2:00PM UTCESTIMATEDDate confidence: ESTIMATEDA target, not a fixed dateHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all ESTIMATED pins70% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 70%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins from 50% to 74% confidence2 days agoAnnounced 2 October; Al Jazeera^[1]: "100 million barrels over four months; diesel release to be 'frontloaded'", so the end date is four months on and no start day for each country's draw is given.
The G7 agreed on 2 October 2026 to release 100 million barrels of oil and diesel from stockpiles over about four months through the IEA, with the diesel share frontloaded into the first 20 days, to counter high fuel prices.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
The September Jobs Report Lands, With Markets Betting Unemployment Holds Near 4.1%
Frances Perkins Department of Labor Building, 200, Constitution Avenue Northwest, Ward 6, Washington, District of Columbia, 20001, United StatesBureau of Labor Statistics
Starts 10/02/2026 12:30PM UTCSCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better2 days agoBLS's^[1][4] October 2026 release schedule lists the Employment Situation for September 2026 on Friday 2 October at 8:30 a.m. ET, and the August release names the same time for the next one.
Kalshi
Kalshi
The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes September 2026's Employment Situation at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on 2 October. August added 162,000 jobs with unemployment at 4.1%; Kalshi prices 70% on another gain above 60,000.
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
US Fiscal Year 2027 Begins on a Stopgap
United States Department of the Treasury, Washington, D.C., United StatesUnited States Department of the Treasury
10/01/2026 - 09/30/2027SCHEDULEDDate confidence: SCHEDULEDGiven as scheduledHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all SCHEDULED pins84% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 84%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better3 days agoThe US federal fiscal year runs 1 October to 30 September, so fiscal year 2027 begins on 1 October 2026 and ends on 30 September 2027.^[1]
Polymarket
Fiscal year 2027 starts on 1 October 2026 with none of the twelve appropriations bills through both chambers, so the government runs on the continuing resolution signed in September rather than on a budget.
Economy09/30/2026@EconDesk
BEA Reports August PCE Price Index Up 3.4% on the Year
U.S. Census Bureau, 4600, Silver Hill Road, Parkland Terrace, Suitland, Prince George's County, Maryland, 20746, United StatesBureau of Economic Analysis
Starts 09/30/2026 12:30PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins90% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 90%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better4 days agoThe release is stamped "EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 a.m. EDT, Wednesday, September 30, 2026".^[1]
The Fed's main inflation gauge rose 0.3% in August and 3.4% from a year earlier, while core PCE, excluding food and energy, rose 0.2% and 3.0% - both annual rates below what economists expected, in a report that also showed spending jumping 0.9%.
Food09/27/2026@DrinksDesk
US Ban on Canadian Alcohol Imports Takes Effect
White House, 1600, Pennsylvania Avenue Northwest, Ward 2, Washington, District of Columbia, 20500, United StatesExecutive Office of the President of the United States
Starts 09/29/2026 4:01AM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins86% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 86%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better5 days agoCNBC^[2], 29 Sept 2026: the ban "came into force on Tuesday" (29 Sept), matching Proclamation 11061's 12:01 a.m. eastern time effective date.
Canadian spirits, wine and malt beer are barred from entering the US from 29 September 2026, escalating the 50% tariff into a near-total import ban over provinces' boycott of American alcohol.
Marine10/01/2026@BuildDesk
Korea's Big Three Shipbuilders Push Their Order Backlog Past 200 Trillion Won
Hyundai Heavy Industries, Dong-gu, Ulsan, South KoreaHD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering
Starts 09/29/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins85% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 85%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better5 days agoFinancial News (Seoul) reported the figures on 29 September 2026; the Korea Times^[2] and Seoul Economic Daily give matching Hanwha and Samsung order totals the same week.
HD Korea Shipbuilding, Samsung Heavy and Hanwha Ocean have taken about 52 trillion won of orders in 2026, heading for 67 trillion won, and their combined backlog has topped 200 trillion won for the first time since 2014.
Mining09/28/2026@BuildDesk
Trump Unveils Mesabi Metallics' $15 Billion Iowa Steel Plant, the Largest in US History
Lee County, Iowa, United StatesMesabi Metallics
Starts 09/28/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins86% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 86%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better6 days agoCNBC^[1], 28 Sep 2026: "The Oval Office announcement with Mesabi Metallics, which began at 2 p.m. ET"; MPR News^[6] gives the same slot as "1 p.m. CT", which is 18:00 UTC.
President Donald Trump announced in the Oval Office at 2 p.m. ET on 28 September 2026 that Mesabi Metallics will invest about $15 billion in a steel plant in Iowa, which the White House calls the largest of its kind in US history and the first mega steel plant built in the country since the 1960s. The plant is due to start producing steel in 2030. Its first phase is put at about 7.5 million tons a year with up to 6,000 construction jobs, rising to 10 million tons a year and at least 1,750 permanent jobs. It will run on iron ore from Mesabi's new mine at Nashwauk on Minnesota's Iron Range, and Iowa lawmakers have discussed tax incentives for a plant in Lee County in the state's southeast. The announcement came weeks before the November midterm elections, as Trump pointed to his 50% steel tariffs as the driver of new US steel investment.
$15B
Marine09/27/2026@FishingDesk
Bristol Bay's 2026 Sockeye Run Falls Short of 50 Million for the First Time Since 2014
Naknek, Bristol Bay Borough, Alaska 99670, United StatesAlaska Department of Fish and Game
Starts 09/22/2026 10:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better12 days agoADF&G advisory '2026 BRISTOL BAY SALMON SEASON SUMMARY', 'For Immediate Release: September 22, 2026, Time: 3:00 p.m.'^[1]
Alaska's final tally put the 2026 Bristol Bay sockeye run at 45.7 million fish and the catch at 30.1 million, the first run under 50 million since 2014, though the salmon were worth $264.0 million to fishermen.
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Raises Rates a Quarter Point to 3.75%-4.00% at the September 2026 FOMC Meeting
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 09/16/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better18 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 16 September 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 15-16 September meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC voted 12-0 on 16 September 2026 to raise the federal funds target range by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent, and its projections now point to a higher year-end rate.
Policy09/24/2026@PoliticsDesk
Hong Kong Unveils Its First Five-Year Plan, Modeled on Beijing's
Legislative Council Complex, Tim Mei Avenue, Tamar, Admiralty, Central and Western District, Hong Kong Island, Hong Kong, ChinaGovernment of Hong Kong
Starts 09/16/2026 3:00AM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins86% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 86%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better18 days agoThe government's release says it "today (September 16) announced the First Five-Year Plan"; the plan's full text was issued at HKT 11:12 and HKFP's live coverage of the special LegCo meeting opened at 11:00 HKT (03:00Z).^[1]
Chief Executive John Lee announced Hong Kong's First Five-Year Plan (2026-2030) at a special Legislative Council meeting, aligning the city with China's 15th Five-Year Plan, and delivered his 2026 Policy Address straight after.
Energy10/03/2026@EnergyDesk
Seven OPEC+ Countries Hold October Output Flat After Four Straight Hikes
OPEC, Helferstorferstraße, Schottenviertel, Katastralgemeinde Innere Stadt, Innere Stadt, Vienna, 1010, AustriaOPEC
Starts 09/06/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins77% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 77%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better28 days agoOPEC's^[1] press release is dated 6 September 2026 and records the virtual meeting and the decision to maintain September production for October.
Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman met virtually on 6 September 2026 and decided to keep September required production unchanged for October, pausing the monthly increases that followed the UAE departure.
Economy10/02/2026@EconDesk
August 2026 Jobs Report: Payrolls Rebound by 162,000, Topping Every Estimate, With Unemployment at 4.1%
Frances Perkins Department of Labor Building, 200, Constitution Avenue Northwest, Ward 6, Washington, District of Columbia, 20001, United StatesBureau of Labor Statistics
Starts 09/04/2026 12:30PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better30 days agoBLS's^[1][2] archived release is dated 4 September 2026 and marked for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, matching its Employment Situation calendar.
Kalshi
Kalshi
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on 4 September 2026 that employers added 162,000 jobs in August, with unemployment unchanged at 4.1% and June and July revised up by 55,000.
Economy09/21/2026@EconDesk
Trump Signs the Stopgap That Funds the Government to December 11
The White House, 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, D.C., United StatesThe White House
09/02/2026 - 12/11/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins90% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 90%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better32 days agoThe White House^[1] statement dates the signing of H.R. 6500 to Wednesday, September 2, 2026. The act is in force from that day and its appropriations run to 11 December 2026, the date named in section 106(3) of the enrolled text.
H.R. 6500, the Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027, was signed on 2 September 2026, four weeks before the fiscal year ran out. Its appropriations run from 1 October to 11 December 2026, pushing the next shutdown fight past the midterm elections.
Economy09/30/2026@EconDesk
BEA Reports July PCE Price Index Up 3.7% on the Year
U.S. Census Bureau, 4600, Silver Hill Road, Parkland Terrace, Suitland, Prince George's County, Maryland, 20746, United StatesBureau of Economic Analysis
Starts 08/26/2026 12:30PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins92% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 92%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better39 days agoThe release is stamped "EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 a.m. EDT" on 2026-08-26.^[1]
The Fed's main inflation gauge rose 0.2% in July and 3.7% from a year earlier, while core PCE, excluding food and energy, rose 0.2% and 3.3%.
Food09/27/2026@DrinksDesk
US 50% Tariff on Canadian Alcohol Takes Effect
White House, 1600, Pennsylvania Avenue Northwest, Ward 2, Washington, District of Columbia, 20500, United StatesExecutive Office of the President of the United States
Starts 08/22/2026 4:01AM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins3 days late86% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 86%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better43 days agoProclamation 11056 sets 'The effective date of the additional ad valorem duties imposed in Proclamations 11046, 11047, and 11048 shall be 12:01 a.m. eastern time on August 22, 2026', and Proclamation 11061 confirms the duties 'became effective' at that moment.^[1]
A 50% US duty on Canadian beer, wine, cider and spirits took effect after a three-day pause, in retaliation for provinces' boycott of American alcohol, and Canada suspended trade talks and vowed dollar-for-dollar countermeasures.
Energy09/22/2026@EnergyDesk
The Reserve Falls Below 300 Million Barrels, Its Lowest Since 1983
James Forrestal Building, 1000 Independence Avenue SW, Washington, D.C. 20585, United StatesUS Department of Energy
Starts 08/10/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better55 days agoThe figure comes from the Energy^[3] Department's weekly stocks data released on Monday 10 August 2026, as reported the same day.
Weekly Energy Department data published on 10 August 2026 put the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at 298.7 million barrels, down 6.1 million in a week and the lowest reading in the EIA series since January 1983. The stockpile had held about 415 million barrels before the Iran war began.
Economy10/02/2026@EconDesk
July 2026 Jobs Report: Payrolls Unexpectedly Fall 23,000 as Local Government Education Sheds 50,000
Frances Perkins Department of Labor Building, 200, Constitution Avenue Northwest, Ward 6, Washington, District of Columbia, 20001, United StatesBureau of Labor Statistics
Starts 08/07/2026 12:30PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins82% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 82%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 6 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better58 days agoBLS's^[1][2] archived release is dated 7 August 2026 and marked for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, matching its Employment Situation calendar.
Kalshi
Kalshi
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on 7 August 2026 that payrolls fell by 23,000 in July, with unemployment at 4.1% and May and June revised down by 103,000.
Economy09/30/2026@EconDesk
BEA Reports June PCE Price Index Up 3.7% on the Year
U.S. Census Bureau, 4600, Silver Hill Road, Parkland Terrace, Suitland, Prince George's County, Maryland, 20746, United StatesBureau of Economic Analysis
Starts 07/30/2026 12:30PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins92% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 92%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better66 days agoThe release is stamped "EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 a.m. EDT" on 2026-07-30.^[1]
The Fed's main inflation gauge fell 0.1% in June and 3.7% from a year earlier, while core PCE, excluding food and energy, rose 0.1% and 3.3%.
Economy09/24/2026@CityDesk
Lurie Signs San Francisco's $16.9 Billion Two-Year Budget
5050, Mission Street, Excelsior, San Francisco, California, 94112, United StatesCity and County of San Francisco
07/30/2026 - 06/30/2028CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins86% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 86%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 4 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better66 days agoStated as firm, per the mayor's release dated July 30, 2026: "Mayor Daniel Lurie today signed a $16.9 billion budget for Fiscal Years (FY) 2026-2027 and 2027-2028"; it runs to the end of FY2027-28, as "Fiscal years run from July 1 to June 30" (sf.gov^[1][2] budget documents).
Passed unanimously by the Board of Supervisors for the first time in six years, the $16.9 billion budget for FY2026-27 and 2027-28 closes a $642 million deficit and cuts the city's structural gap by about $300 million.
$16.9B
Economy10/01/2026@EconDesk
Fed Holds Rates at the July 2026 FOMC Meeting With Three Dissents in Favour of a Hike
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, 20th St & Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DCFederal Reserve
Starts 07/29/2026 6:00PM UTCCONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 5 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better67 days agoThe Federal Reserve's^[1][2][3] statement is dated 29 July 2026 and marked for release at 2:00 p.m. ET, matching the 28-29 July meeting on its calendar and the strike times of the Kalshi^[4] and Polymarket^[5] decision markets.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The FOMC kept the target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent on 29 July 2026 by a 9-3 vote, with Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan preferring a quarter-point increase.
Travel09/24/2026@EconDesk
LA Reports 49.5 Million Visitors and $42.6 Billion in Tourism Sales for 2025
633 West 5th Street, Los Angeles, CA 90071Los Angeles Tourism & Convention Board
Starts 07/29/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better67 days agoThe release is datelined 'LOS ANGELES (July 29, 2026)': 'newly released data from Los Angeles Tourism & Convention Board ... and Tourism Economics'.^[1]
Los Angeles Tourism and Tourism Economics counted 49.5 million visitors to LA in 2025, down about 1% on 2024, generating $42.6 billion in business sales and supporting more than 530,000 jobs.
Food09/27/2026@DrinksDesk
US Lifts Tariffs on Scotch Whisky
White House, 1600, Pennsylvania Avenue Northwest, Ward 2, Washington, District of Columbia, 20500, United StatesExecutive Office of the President of the United States
Starts 07/24/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins87% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 87%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 3 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better72 days agoThe UK government's release says 'From today [24 July], whisky from the UK will now have zero tariffs', and a same-day release says the removal of US tariffs 'comes into force today (July 24)'.^[1]
Scotch and other UK whisky entered the US tariff-free from 24 July 2026, ending the 10% duty imposed in April 2025 on a market worth about £1 billion a year to UK distillers.
Retail09/24/2026@RetailDesk
Aldi Nord and Aldi Süd Reject App Discounts: One Price for All
Aldi Nord Campus, Eckenbergstraße 16b, Kray, 45307 Essen, GermanyAldi Nord
Starts 07/20/2026CONFIRMEDDate confidence: CONFIRMEDStated as firmHow firmly the source words the date: confirmed, scheduled, estimated, delayed or unverified.Show all CONFIRMED pins88% CONFIDENCEOverall confidence: 88%How well the pin's source and references back up its dates.Weighted average of how firmly 2 references, the source included, support the pin's start and end times; a reference counts half as much for every 180 days older than the newestShow all pins at 75% confidence or better76 days agoAldi Nord's^[1] press list dates the release "20.07.2026 – ALDI setzt auf den besten Preis für alle und verzichtet deshalb auf App-Rabatte".
Aldi Nord and Aldi Süd said they will not offer app-only coupons or loyalty prices, launching ad campaigns that pitch the same shelf price for every shopper against rivals' bonus apps.

11

Federal Budget6

Companies

Federal Reserve System8
Bureau of Labor Statistics26
Federal Reserve59
Bureau of Economic Analysis9
Executive Office of the President of the United States4
OPEC5
United States Department of the Treasury3
County of San Diego3
United States Congress7
Los Angeles City Council3
Alaska Department of Fish and Game8
The White House11
US Department of Energy11
City and County of San Francisco9
Aldi Nord34